TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12175855
Played Jul 7Finished
Stepan Kysely
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118116––––
Jakub Simecek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingStepan Kysely above · Jakub Simecek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6
54 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kysely 8–8 Jakub Simecek Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kysely)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKysely 1.83 / Simecek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kysely)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12175855
Kysely1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Simecek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKysely5wins
AwaySimecek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKysely80%4 of 5
AwaySimecek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kysely5Simecek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kysely2Simecek8n = 10Simecek took 8 of 10
S3Kysely5Simecek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kysely6Simecek3n = 9Kysely took 6 of 9
S5Kysely3Simecek2n = 5Kysely took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKyselySimecekK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.143.6−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyselySimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 165 vs 120 / 22557%53.3%94 / 165 vs 120 / 225Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyselyKysely 1.83/Simecek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kysely · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kysely won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 7 · 08:59S. Kysely—11118143J. Simecek—7711121
WJul 7 · 06:00S. Kysely—531111113J. Simecek—11119742
LJul 6 · 18:00S. Kysely—111091282J. Simecek—8121110113
LJul 6 · 01:00S. Kysely—1114791J. Simecek—131211113
WJul 4 · 20:00S. Kysely—11911123J. Simecek—3112101
LApr 2 · 06:00S. Kysely—9151161J. Simecek—11178113
LMar 18 · 17:00S. Kysely—11640J. Simecek—1311113
WFeb 19 · 18:30S. Kysely—114117143J. Simecek—311911122
WFeb 19 · 15:30S. Kysely—118511163J. Simecek—911118142
LOct 25 · 17:30S. Kysely—139111182J. Simecek—151187103
S. Kysely10
LJul 7 · 13:30M. Vedmoch1.9013115113S. Kysely1.801181171LJul 7 · 11:30M. Vedmoch1.83101111113S. Kysely1.83129591WJul 7 · 10:00S. Kysely1.8313612113V. Hampejs1.8311111041WJul 7 · 08:59S. Kysely1.8311118143J. Simecek1.837711121LJul 7 · 08:30S. Kysely1.5751113972R. Pavelka2.251151111113LJul 7 · 07:00S. Kysely1.6197111152M. Vedmoch2.20111176113WJul 7 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8311119742S. Kysely1.83531111113WJul 6 · 20:58S. Kysely1.171211113L. Krok4.5010460WJul 6 · 20:00S. Kysely1.281111113L. Krok3.503880LJul 6 · 19:30J. Prokupek2.20711118113S. Kysely1.6111871192
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LJul 7 · 08:59S. Kysely1.8311118143J. Simecek1.837711121LJul 7 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8311119742S. Kysely1.83531111113
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