TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12165560
Played Jul 6Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711118117811119
Stepan Kysely
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Stepan Kysely below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9
94 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 0–3 Stepan Kysely Jaroslav Prokupek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kysely)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kysely form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 2.20 / Kysely 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kysely)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12165560
Prokupek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 119 of 299
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 96
Kysely1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 31 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it84% 26 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeProkupek0wins
AwayKysely3wins
2 of 3 to a deciderKysely leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek1Kysely2n = 3Kysely took 2 of 3
S2Prokupek1Kysely2n = 3Kysely took 2 of 3
S3Prokupek1Kysely2n = 3Kysely took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricProkupekKyselyP − KBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.343.3−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekKyselyBasisWin rate · lifetime945 / 1942 vs 89 / 15748.7%56.7%945 / 1942 vs 89 / 157Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyselyProkupek 2.20/Kysely 1.61
Miss
What we said
59.7%
Kysely · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 6 · 02:00J. Prokupek—65111142S. Kysely—111176113
LJul 5 · 08:59J. Prokupek—111101162S. Kysely—841113113
LJul 5 · 06:30J. Prokupek—128100S. Kysely—1411123
J. Prokupek10
LSep 7 · 09:29J. Svoboda1.40111111123J. Prokupek2.750138101WSep 7 · 08:30J. Trefny1.507930J. Prokupek2.501111113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek3.2510670J. Svoboda1.331211113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461
S. Kysely10
LJul 7 · 13:30M. Vedmoch1.9013115113S. Kysely1.801181171WJul 7 · 12:00S. Kysely1.831111113J. Simecek1.837860LJul 7 · 11:30M. Vedmoch1.83101111113S. Kysely1.83129591WJul 7 · 10:00S. Kysely1.8313612113V. Hampejs1.8311111041WJul 7 · 08:59S. Kysely1.8311118143J. Simecek1.837711121LJul 7 · 08:30S. Kysely1.5751113972R. Pavelka2.251151111113LJul 7 · 07:00S. Kysely1.6197111152M. Vedmoch2.20111176113WJul 7 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8311119742S. Kysely1.83531111113WJul 6 · 20:58S. Kysely1.171211113L. Krok4.5010460WJul 6 · 20:00S. Kysely1.281111113L. Krok3.503880
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