Stepan Kysely vs Michal Vedmoch 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12175069

Played Jul 7Finished

Stepan Kysely

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

911711117116511

Michal Vedmoch

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingStepan Kysely above · Michal Vedmoch below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 11-6

Set 5 · 5-11

Point 89 set 5, 5-11

89 points played in total.

H2H Stepan Kysely 3–7 Michal Vedmoch Stepan Kysely has won 3 of their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vedmoch)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vedmoch form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKysely 1.61 / Vedmoch 2.20

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Vedmoch)+11.7pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12175069

Kysely1.61

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite61% won 36 of 59

Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25

Up 1–0, closes it82% 31 of 38

Vedmoch2.20

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog45% won 149 of 333

Down 0–1, comes back22% 37 of 167

Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 95

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKysely3wins

AwayVedmoch7wins

4 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKysely66.7%2 of 3

AwayVedmoch85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kysely3Vedmoch7n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10

S2Kysely4Vedmoch6n = 10Vedmoch took 6 of 10

S3Kysely8Vedmoch2n = 10Kysely took 8 of 10

S4Kysely5Vedmoch4n = 9Kysely took 5 of 9

S5Kysely0Vedmoch4n = 4Vedmoch took 4 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricKyselyVedmochK − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.140.6+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKyselyVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 168 vs 680 / 127156.6%53.5%95 / 168 vs 680 / 1271Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vedmoch

Kysely 1.61/Vedmoch 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Vedmoch · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Vedmoch won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJul 7 · 13:30S. Kysely—1181171M. Vedmoch—13115113

LJul 7 · 11:30S. Kysely—129591M. Vedmoch—101111113

LJul 7 · 07:00S. Kysely—97111152M. Vedmoch—111176113

LJul 4 · 02:30S. Kysely—1361161M. Vedmoch—15119113

LJul 3 · 11:30S. Kysely—7111112102M. Vedmoch—114614123

WJul 3 · 09:29S. Kysely—111110113M. Vedmoch—551291

LJul 3 · 07:30S. Kysely—411111192M. Vedmoch—111376113

WJul 24 · 14:00S. Kysely—91112113M. Vedmoch—1161051

LJul 10 · 09:30S. Kysely—107121142M. Vedmoch—1211107113

WJul 10 · 08:00S. Kysely—1111113M. Vedmoch—9760

S. Kysely10

LJul 7 · 13:30M. Vedmoch1.9013115113S. Kysely1.801181171 WJul 7 · 12:00S. Kysely1.831111113J. Simecek1.837860 LJul 7 · 11:30M. Vedmoch1.83101111113S. Kysely1.83129591 WJul 7 · 10:00S. Kysely1.8313612113V. Hampejs1.8311111041 WJul 7 · 08:59S. Kysely1.8311118143J. Simecek1.837711121 LJul 7 · 08:30S. Kysely1.5751113972R. Pavelka2.251151111113 WJul 7 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8311119742S. Kysely1.83531111113 WJul 6 · 20:58S. Kysely1.171211113L. Krok4.5010460 WJul 6 · 20:00S. Kysely1.281111113L. Krok3.503880 LJul 6 · 19:30J. Prokupek2.20711118113S. Kysely1.6111871192

M. Vedmoch10

WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113 WSep 4 · 02:30J. Dedek2.385650M. Vedmoch1.531111113 WSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.20411681M. Vedmoch1.6111611113 LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.571110111252J. Trefny2.25812814113 WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9144100 WSep 3 · 13:29J. Plachy2.107650M. Vedmoch1.671111113 LSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy2.2091111113M. Vedmoch1.61117941 WSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113 WJul 7 · 13:30M. Vedmoch1.9013115113S. Kysely1.801181171 WJul 7 · 11:30M. Vedmoch1.83101111113S. Kysely1.83129591

Upcoming Matches

S. Kysely

Nothing scheduled

M. Vedmoch

Sep 7 · 15:30M. Vedmoch1.73T. Dousa2.00—Sep 7 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.83M. Sedlak1.83—Sep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.20J. Hradecky1.61—Sep 7 · 19:00M. Vedmoch1.67L. Krticka2.10—Sep 7 · 20:00M. Vedmoch2.75T. Janata1.40—Sep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.20M. Sobisek1.61—Sep 8 · 15:00M. Vedmoch1.73J. Stolfa2.00—Sep 8 · 16:00M. Vedmoch2.75V. Cermak1.40—Sep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53V. Postelt2.38—Sep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.53J. Trefny2.38—

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