TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098799
Played Sep 9Finished
Stepan Kysely
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1178111113511––
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeStepan Kysely to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Kysely above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 77 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Stepan Kysely at 58.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kysely 1–0 Jaroslav Schwan Jaroslav Schwan has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kysely
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kysely 1627 vs Schwan 1525
Kysely
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kysely 40% vs Schwan 20%
Kysely
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kysely 50% vs Schwan 30%
Kysely
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kysely -1 · Schwan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kysely) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKysely 1.73 / Schwan 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kysely)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098799
Kysely1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 25 of 32
Schwan2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 23 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKysely1wins
AwaySchwan0wins
Kysely leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKyselySchwanK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.036.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyselySchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 133 vs 123 / 26456.4%46.6%75 / 133 vs 123 / 264Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyselyKysely 1.73/Schwan 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kysely · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Schwan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMar 18 · 15:00S. Kysely—81311113J. Schwan—1111591
S. Kysely10
LSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113WSep 9 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.737890S. Kysely2.001111113LJul 7 · 13:30M. Vedmoch1.9013115113S. Kysely1.801181171WJul 7 · 12:00S. Kysely1.831111113J. Simecek1.837860LJul 7 · 11:30M. Vedmoch1.83101111113S. Kysely1.83129591WJul 7 · 10:00S. Kysely1.8313612113V. Hampejs1.8311111041WJul 7 · 08:59S. Kysely1.8311118143J. Simecek1.837711121LJul 7 · 08:30S. Kysely1.5751113972R. Pavelka2.251151111113LJul 7 · 07:00S. Kysely1.6197111152M. Vedmoch2.20111176113WJul 7 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8311119742S. Kysely1.83531111113
J. Schwan10
WSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102LSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561LSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113LSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:00L. Martinak1.8341111113J. Schwan1.83116691
Upcoming Matches
S. Kysely
Nothing scheduled
J. Schwan
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