TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104158
Played Sep 9Finished
Stepan Kysely
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111159111113––
Richard Skacelik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingStepan Kysely above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 80 set 4, 11-13
80 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kysely 1–0 Richard Skacelik Richard Skacelik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kysely beat Skacelik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kysely)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skacelik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKysely 1.61 / Skacelik 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kysely)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104158
Kysely1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 25 of 32
Skacelik2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 85 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKysely1wins
AwaySkacelik0wins
Kysely leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKyselySkacelikK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.024.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyselySkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 134 vs 207 / 43656%47.5%75 / 134 vs 207 / 436Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyselyKysely 1.61/Skacelik 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Kysely · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 10:00S. Kysely—1111113R. Skacelik—7890
S. Kysely10
LSep 9 · 12:30S. Kysely1.731181151J. Schwan2.0071113113LSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113WSep 9 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.737890S. Kysely2.001111113LJul 7 · 13:30M. Vedmoch1.9013115113S. Kysely1.801181171WJul 7 · 12:00S. Kysely1.831111113J. Simecek1.837860LJul 7 · 11:30M. Vedmoch1.83101111113S. Kysely1.83129591WJul 7 · 10:00S. Kysely1.8313612113V. Hampejs1.8311111041WJul 7 · 08:59S. Kysely1.8311118143J. Simecek1.837711121LJul 7 · 08:30S. Kysely1.5751113972R. Pavelka2.251151111113LJul 7 · 07:00S. Kysely1.6197111152M. Vedmoch2.20111176113
R. Skacelik10
WSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490LSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102LSep 9 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.737890S. Kysely2.001111113WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111
Upcoming Matches
S. Kysely
Nothing scheduled
R. Skacelik
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