TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103582
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Petrek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Josef Cabak
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Cabak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Petrek above · Josef Cabak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Josef Cabak at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Petrek 4–4 Josef Cabak Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Petrek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petrek 1636 vs Cabak 1669
Cabak
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petrek 40% vs Cabak 60%
Cabak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petrek 40% vs Cabak 60%
Cabak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Petrek -1 · Cabak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Petrek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetrek 1.67 / Cabak 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Petrek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103582
Petrek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 34 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Cabak2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 15 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePetrek4wins
AwayCabak4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetrek100%4 of 4
AwayCabak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petrek4Cabak4n = 8split evenly
S2Petrek3Cabak5n = 8Cabak took 5 of 8
S3Petrek5Cabak3n = 8Petrek took 5 of 8
S4Petrek3Cabak1n = 4Petrek took 3 of 4
S5Petrek1Cabak2n = 3Cabak took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricPetrekCabakP − CBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.637.2+1.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetrekCabakBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 225 vs 103 / 19150.7%53.9%114 / 225 vs 103 / 191Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetrekPetrek 1.67/Cabak 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Petrek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cabak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 10 · 06:00T. Petrek—7970J. Cabak—1111113
WApr 2 · 12:00T. Petrek—1112113J. Cabak—51060
WMar 20 · 10:30T. Petrek—11611113J. Cabak—511191
WMar 20 · 07:30T. Petrek—1112123J. Cabak—810100
LNov 20 · 09:59T. Petrek—95111192J. Cabak—111159113
LNov 20 · 09:30T. Petrek—9450J. Cabak—1111113
WAug 26 · 07:00T. Petrek—1291312113J. Cabak—1011111482
LAug 11 · 06:30T. Petrek—1411911132J. Cabak—168116153
T. Petrek10
LAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.737138111T. Petrek2.00111111133LAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:00J. Simecek1.73411711113T. Petrek2.0011711792LAug 27 · 07:00L. Martinak1.8311115113T. Petrek1.83381191WAug 27 · 06:30T. Petrek2.75111465113J. Hutnik1.40512111182WAug 26 · 08:58L. Martinak1.80101040T. Petrek1.911212113LAug 26 · 08:30T. Petrek2.0051450J. Hutnik1.731116113
J. Cabak10
LSep 10 · 07:00J. Cabak2.1016351152R. Skacelik1.651411118113WSep 8 · 13:30J. Cabak1.4611611113J. Levicky2.37711861WSep 8 · 12:00J. Cabak1.611112123J. Snr2.20510100LSep 8 · 11:30M. Heczko2.7511711113J. Cabak1.40911791WSep 8 · 10:00J. Cabak1.50111111113J. Levicky2.50561341LSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171LSep 1 · 06:00L. Martinak1.5711911113J. Cabak2.25911811LAug 27 · 08:59A. Walek2.00117114123J. Cabak1.73511311102
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.