TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092920
Played Sep 8Finished
Josef Cabak
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151161113114––
Jakub Levicky
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:37 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeJosef Cabak to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Cabak above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Josef Cabak at 62.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Josef Cabak 9–5 Jakub Levicky Jakub Levicky has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:37What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Cabak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Cabak
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabak 1626 vs Levicky 1653
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabak 40% vs Levicky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabak 40% vs Levicky 70%
Levicky
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabak -1 · Levicky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Cabak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabak form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabak 1.50 / Levicky 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Cabak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092920
Cabak1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 50 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it80% 40 of 50
Levicky2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 70 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCabak6wins
AwayLevicky4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCabak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabak75%6 of 8
AwayLevickyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabak8Levicky2n = 10Cabak took 8 of 10
S2Cabak4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S3Cabak6Levicky4n = 10Cabak took 6 of 10
S4Cabak3Levicky3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabakLevickyC − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.434.2+2.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabakLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 188 vs 448 / 88653.2%50.6%100 / 188 vs 448 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabakCabak 1.50/Levicky 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Cabak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cabak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 19 · 12:00J. Cabak—111194113J. Levicky—97111192
WApr 22 · 08:30J. Cabak—1111113J. Levicky—4370
LApr 20 · 13:00J. Cabak—1271071J. Levicky—101112113
WApr 20 · 11:30J. Cabak—12711113J. Levicky—1011641
LApr 2 · 10:30J. Cabak—129771J. Levicky—101111113
WMar 30 · 09:28J. Cabak—1111113J. Levicky—7990
LMar 30 · 08:00J. Cabak—9970J. Levicky—1111113
LMar 24 · 10:30J. Cabak—47121152J. Levicky—1111105113
WMar 24 · 08:30J. Cabak—13611113J. Levicky—1111451
WFeb 19 · 09:30J. Cabak—1111133J. Levicky—96110
J. Cabak10
LSep 8 · 11:30M. Heczko2.7511711113J. Cabak1.40911791LSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171LSep 1 · 06:00L. Martinak1.5711911113J. Cabak2.25911811LAug 27 · 08:59A. Walek2.00117114123J. Cabak1.73511311102WAug 27 · 08:30J. Cabak1.73981111113A. Walek2.0011115382LAug 27 · 07:00J. Cabak1.7349111122D. Heczko2.00111196113LAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681WAug 25 · 09:00J. Cabak1.73121411113A. Walek2.001412691
J. Levicky10
WSep 8 · 11:00J. Levicky2.0012139113J. Snr1.7310111151LSep 8 · 09:29P. Danko1.3681111113J. Levicky3.00119691LSep 8 · 08:00P. Danko1.4011711113J. Levicky2.75711891WSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113WSep 8 · 06:30J. Levicky1.67118115113M. Heczko2.1081191182LSep 7 · 17:28J. Levicky1.8341211962R. Vavrecka1.831110811113WSep 7 · 16:00R. Vavrecka1.731213471J. Levicky2.00101511113WSep 7 · 15:00L. Velicka2.00771181J. Levicky1.7311119113WSep 7 · 14:30J. Levicky1.531111113O. Hradil2.389660WSep 7 · 08:58J. Levicky2.00913137113A. Rinka1.731111111182
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