TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092924
Played Sep 8Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711117119––
Josef Cabak
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeJosef Cabak to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Josef Cabak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Josef Cabak at 67.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 3–4 Josef Cabak Marcel Heczko has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Cabak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1574 vs Cabak 1629
Cabak
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 40% vs Cabak 60%
Cabak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 50% vs Cabak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -1 · Cabak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Cabak) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabak form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.75 / Cabak 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Cabak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092924
Heczko2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Cabak1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 50 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it80% 40 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHeczko3wins
AwayCabak4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderCabak leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko66.7%2 of 3
AwayCabak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko3Cabak4n = 7Cabak took 4 of 7
S2Heczko4Cabak3n = 7Heczko took 4 of 7
S3Heczko3Cabak4n = 7Cabak took 4 of 7
S4Heczko2Cabak3n = 5Cabak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricHeczkoCabakH − CBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.339.1−2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoCabakBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 585 vs 101 / 18947.7%53.4%279 / 585 vs 101 / 189Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabakHeczko 2.75/Cabak 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Cabak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 16 · 07:30M. Heczko—6660J. Cabak—1111113
LMay 19 · 10:00M. Heczko—711381J. Cabak—11611113
LApr 24 · 06:00M. Heczko—7311101J. Cabak—11119123
LApr 20 · 10:30M. Heczko—111110692J. Cabak—981211113
WMar 24 · 09:00M. Heczko—71211113J. Cabak—1110991
WFeb 11 · 12:30M. Heczko—1311113J. Cabak—11650
WFeb 9 · 07:00M. Heczko—1191111113J. Cabak—81113782
M. Heczko10
LSep 8 · 10:30J. Snr1.501111113M. Heczko2.505880WSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272WSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:30M. Heczko2.5061171162P. Danko1.50119116113LSep 8 · 06:30J. Levicky1.67118115113M. Heczko2.1081191182LSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551
J. Cabak10
WSep 8 · 12:00J. Cabak1.611112123J. Snr2.20510100WSep 8 · 10:00J. Cabak1.50111111113J. Levicky2.50561341LSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171LSep 1 · 06:00L. Martinak1.5711911113J. Cabak2.25911811LAug 27 · 08:59A. Walek2.00117114123J. Cabak1.73511311102WAug 27 · 08:30J. Cabak1.73981111113A. Walek2.0011115382LAug 27 · 07:00J. Cabak1.7349111122D. Heczko2.00111196113LAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681
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