TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13113891
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811811––––
Richard Skacelik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-6
Point 51 set 3, 6-6 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 54.0%
51 points drawn · the score is 7 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Daniel Langer 1–2 Richard Skacelik Daniel Langer has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:23What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1650 vs Skacelik 1649
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 80% vs Skacelik 60%
Langer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 60% vs Skacelik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +1 · Skacelik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.83 / Skacelik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Langer)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13113891
Langer1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Skacelik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLanger1wins
AwaySkacelik2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSkacelik leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger33.3%1 of 3
AwaySkacelikn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer3Skacelik0n = 3Langer took 3 of 3
S2Langer0Skacelik3n = 3Skacelik took 3 of 3
S3Langer2Skacelik1n = 3Langer took 2 of 3
S4Langer0Skacelik3n = 3Skacelik took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLangerSkacelikL − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match40.045.3−5.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 155 vs 210 / 44167.7%47.6%105 / 155 vs 210 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.83/Skacelik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer5016711972R. Skacelik561411911113
WSep 6 · 14:00D. Langer44115116113R. Skacelik3941171162
LAug 29 · 14:30D. Langer26118431R. Skacelik4181111113
D. Langer10
WSep 11 · 21:30D. Langer1.63811117113J. Schwan2.1511861182LSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113WSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162WSep 8 · 17:08D. Langer1.401111113D. Heczko2.758350WSep 8 · 16:30D. Langer1.73711811113D. Heczko2.0011611682LSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153LSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142
R. Skacelik10
LSep 10 · 09:30J. Cabak2.001111410123R. Skacelik1.73651112102WSep 10 · 08:00T. Petrek1.675940R. Skacelik2.101111113WSep 10 · 07:00J. Cabak2.1016351152R. Skacelik1.651411118113LSep 10 · 06:30R. Skacelik2.20411581D. Machander1.6111511113WSep 9 · 13:00S. Kysely1.619119111R. Skacelik2.2011511133WSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490LSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102LSep 9 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.737890S. Kysely2.001111113WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730
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