TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092895
Played Sep 8Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4117111171161315
Adrian Walek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Adrian Walek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 96 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Daniel Langer at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 2–2 Adrian Walek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Langer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1618 vs Walek 1590
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 60% vs Walek 20%
Langer
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 60% vs Walek 40%
Langer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -2 · Walek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Langer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.73 / Walek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Langer)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092895
Langer1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 83 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it98% 52 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it87% 62 of 71
Walek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 92 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back36% 33 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back17% 7 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLanger2wins
AwayWalek2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLangern = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayWalek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer0Walek4n = 4Walek took 4 of 4
S2Langer2Walek2n = 4split evenly
S3Langer3Walek1n = 4Langer took 3 of 4
S4Langer2Walek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricLangerWalekL − WBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match39.039.8−0.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerWalekBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 148 vs 227 / 44667.6%50.9%100 / 148 vs 227 / 446Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.73/Walek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer—791111113A. Walek—11116972
WSep 2 · 17:30D. Langer—61111113A. Walek—115581
LSep 2 · 16:30D. Langer—711971A. Walek—11911113
LAug 26 · 12:00D. Langer—851381A. Walek—111111113
D. Langer10
LSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113
A. Walek10
WSep 8 · 14:30A. Walek2.10918117113D. Heczko1.67111661182WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113
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