TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091718
Played Sep 8Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111816116711118
David Heczko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Heczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · David Heczko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 18-16
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 108 set 5, 11-8 — our read held David Heczko at 54.0%
108 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 19–20 David Heczko Adrian Walek has won 19 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:56What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Heczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-20 in 39
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Walek 1590 vs Heczko 1643
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Walek 20% vs Heczko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walek 40% vs Heczko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Walek +1 · Heczko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Heczko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 2.10 / Heczko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Heczko)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091718
Walek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 92 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back36% 33 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back17% 7 of 42
Heczko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 104 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it74% 77 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWalek6wins
AwayHeczko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWalek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWalek80%4 of 5
AwayHeczko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S2Walek5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Walek6Heczko4n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S4Walek5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S5Walek2Heczko1n = 3Walek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWalekHeczkoW − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.541.2+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 446 vs 258 / 46850.9%55.1%227 / 446 vs 258 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoWalek 2.10/Heczko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 10:30A. Walek—11117113D. Heczko—871151
WSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek—121112113D. Heczko—1481071
WSep 2 · 14:00A. Walek—111111113D. Heczko—135591
WAug 27 · 06:30A. Walek—111113113D. Heczko—7131181
LAug 25 · 08:00A. Walek—9111181D. Heczko—11138113
WAug 24 · 09:28A. Walek—119116133D. Heczko—711911112
LAug 24 · 08:00A. Walek—1011751D. Heczko—12811113
LAug 23 · 10:00A. Walek—611118102D. Heczko—114811123
LAug 20 · 12:30A. Walek—1391181D. Heczko—111113113
WAug 19 · 08:00A. Walek—1171011113D. Heczko—91112492
A. Walek10
WSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442
D. Heczko10
WSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572
Upcoming Matches
A. Walek
Nothing scheduled
D. Heczko
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