TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13116863
Played Sep 11Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811118116711118
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Daniel Langer at 57.4%
92 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 4–2 Jaroslav Schwan Jaroslav Schwan has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Langer beat Schwan 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (57%)
Langer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Langer
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1650 vs Schwan 1556
Langer
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 80% vs Schwan 60%
Langer
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 60% vs Schwan 40%
Langer
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -1 · Schwan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.63 / Schwan 2.15
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Langer)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13116863
Langer1.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 85 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it98% 53 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Schwan2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 25 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLanger4wins
AwaySchwan2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLanger leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLangern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySchwan50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer2Schwan4n = 6Schwan took 4 of 6
S2Langer3Schwan3n = 6split evenly
S3Langer3Schwan3n = 6split evenly
S4Langer3Schwan1n = 4Langer took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricLangerSchwanL − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match36.837.7−0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 155 vs 126 / 27067.7%46.7%105 / 155 vs 126 / 270Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.63/Schwan 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 11 · 21:30D. Langer—811117113J. Schwan—11861182
WSep 11 · 19:30D. Langer—11132123J. Schwan—91111101
WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer—14511113J. Schwan—1211561
WAug 25 · 21:28D. Langer—51111113J. Schwan—118571
LAug 25 · 19:00D. Langer—917100J. Schwan—1119123
LJul 25 · 18:30D. Langer—64100J. Schwan—1111123
D. Langer10
LSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113WSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162WSep 8 · 17:08D. Langer1.401111113D. Heczko2.758350WSep 8 · 16:30D. Langer1.73711811113D. Heczko2.0011611682LSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153LSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561
J. Schwan10
WSep 11 · 20:30D. Heczko2.1071070J. Schwan1.671112113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:30S. Byrtus1.9111114722J. Schwan1.80861111113LSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113WSep 9 · 12:30S. Kysely1.731181151J. Schwan2.0071113113WSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102LSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561
Upcoming Matches
D. Langer
J. Schwan
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.