TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110117
Played Sep 11Finished
David Heczko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012711––––
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 0–3 Jaroslav Schwan David Heczko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 14:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Schwan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Schwan
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1611 vs Schwan 1548
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 40% vs Schwan 60%
Schwan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 30% vs Schwan 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko +1 · Schwan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Schwan) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.10 / Schwan 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Schwan)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110117
Heczko2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 58 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Schwan1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 45 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHeczko0wins
AwaySchwan3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSchwan leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySchwan100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko0Schwan3n = 3Schwan took 3 of 3
S2Heczko2Schwan1n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
S3Heczko1Schwan2n = 3Schwan took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricHeczkoSchwanH − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match31.340.7−9.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 474 vs 125 / 26854.9%46.6%260 / 474 vs 125 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoHeczko 2.10/Schwan 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Schwan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 25 · 06:30D. Heczko—211941J. Schwan—11411113
LJun 24 · 10:00D. Heczko—105100J. Schwan—1211123
LJun 18 · 12:00D. Heczko—711111132J. Schwan—116913113
D. Heczko10
WSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus2.107680D. Heczko1.671111113WSep 11 · 19:00D. Heczko1.83121111113S. Byrtus1.831013981LSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162LSep 8 · 17:08D. Langer1.401111113D. Heczko2.758350LSep 8 · 16:30D. Langer1.73711811113D. Heczko2.0011611682WSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122LSep 8 · 14:30A. Walek2.10918117113D. Heczko1.67111661182LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113
J. Schwan10
LSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:30S. Byrtus1.9111114722J. Schwan1.80861111113LSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113WSep 9 · 12:30S. Kysely1.731181151J. Schwan2.0071113113WSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102LSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561LSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113
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