TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110003
Played Sep 11Finished
David Heczko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101113119118––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 85 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 25–22 Samuel Byrtus Samuel Byrtus has won 22 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:53What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Byrtus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-22 in 47
Heczko
Correct
gap of 3 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1590 vs Byrtus 1591
Byrtus
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 20% vs Byrtus 60%
Byrtus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 20% vs Byrtus 40%
Byrtus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -3 · Byrtus -1
Heczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.83 / Byrtus 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Byrtus)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110003
Heczko1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Byrtus1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko5wins
AwayByrtus5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko80%4 of 5
AwayByrtus80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S2Heczko5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S3Heczko6Byrtus4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S4Heczko4Byrtus4n = 8split evenly
S5Heczko2Byrtus2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoByrtusH − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.240.0+1.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 473 vs 296 / 57754.8%51.3%259 / 473 vs 296 / 577Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusHeczko 1.83/Byrtus 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko—118711113S. Byrtus—81111572
WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko—1211113S. Byrtus—10850
WAug 31 · 08:00D. Heczko—1116133S. Byrtus—814110
LAug 27 · 09:30D. Heczko—861111132S. Byrtus—111164153
WAug 27 · 08:00D. Heczko—961112113S. Byrtus—111161072
LAug 25 · 09:30D. Heczko—811791S. Byrtus—11511113
LAug 25 · 07:30D. Heczko—6111271S. Byrtus—111310113
WAug 23 · 12:00D. Heczko—11116113S. Byrtus—551181
LAug 21 · 10:00D. Heczko—123691S. Byrtus—101111113
LAug 19 · 09:04D. Heczko—7111210122S. Byrtus—1181012143
D. Heczko10
LSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162LSep 8 · 17:08D. Langer1.401111113D. Heczko2.758350LSep 8 · 16:30D. Langer1.73711811113D. Heczko2.0011611682WSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122LSep 8 · 14:30A. Walek2.10918117113D. Heczko1.67111661182LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113
S. Byrtus10
WSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113LSep 11 · 18:30S. Byrtus1.9111114722J. Schwan1.80861111113WSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113LSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490WSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113WSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113
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