TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108526
Played Sep 11Finished
Samuel Byrtus
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118116411711211
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 82 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Samuel Byrtus 4–7 Jaroslav Schwan Samuel Byrtus has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Schwan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Schwan
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Byrtus 1591 vs Schwan 1530
Byrtus
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Byrtus 60% vs Schwan 40%
Byrtus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Byrtus 50% vs Schwan 30%
Byrtus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Byrtus +1 · Schwan -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsByrtus 1.91 / Schwan 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Byrtus)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108526
Byrtus1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog47% won 77 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back31% 29 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Schwan1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 45 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeByrtus4wins
AwaySchwan6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSchwan leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeByrtus33.3%1 of 3
AwaySchwan57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Byrtus3Schwan7n = 10Schwan took 7 of 10
S2Byrtus3Schwan7n = 10Schwan took 7 of 10
S3Byrtus4Schwan6n = 10Schwan took 6 of 10
S4Byrtus3Schwan3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricByrtusSchwanB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.236.7−6.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricByrtusSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 580 vs 124 / 26651.4%46.6%298 / 580 vs 124 / 266Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusByrtus 1.91/Schwan 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Schwan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 13:30S. Byrtus—41111113J. Schwan—119961
WSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus—511148123J. Schwan—1161211102
WAug 17 · 18:00S. Byrtus—101111113J. Schwan—129751
LJul 22 · 11:00S. Byrtus—9440J. Schwan—1111113
LMay 29 · 09:30S. Byrtus—119141J. Schwan—71111113
LMay 29 · 06:00S. Byrtus—12780J. Schwan—1411113
LMay 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus—5760J. Schwan—1111113
LMay 21 · 12:30S. Byrtus—4770J. Schwan—1111113
LMay 15 · 17:30S. Byrtus—113691J. Schwan—91111113
WMay 15 · 14:30S. Byrtus—11311133J. Schwan—5115111
S. Byrtus10
WSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113LSep 11 · 19:00D. Heczko1.83121111113S. Byrtus1.831013981WSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113LSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490WSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113WSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113
J. Schwan10
LSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123LSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113WSep 9 · 12:30S. Kysely1.731181151J. Schwan2.0071113113WSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102LSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561LSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113LSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192
Upcoming Matches
S. Byrtus
J. Schwan
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