TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110026
Played Sep 11Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1176111012118311
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 90 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 2–2 Samuel Byrtus Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:03What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Byrtus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1655 vs Byrtus 1558
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 60% vs Byrtus 40%
Langer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 70% vs Byrtus 30%
Langer
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +3 · Byrtus -2
Langer
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 2.00 / Byrtus 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Langer)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110026
Langer2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 17 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back35% 7 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Byrtus1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite59% won 91 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it73% 63 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLanger2wins
AwayByrtus2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger66.7%2 of 3
AwayByrtusn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer3Byrtus1n = 4Langer took 3 of 4
S2Langer1Byrtus3n = 4Byrtus took 3 of 4
S3Langer2Byrtus2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricLangerByrtusL − BBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match31.529.8+1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 152 vs 296 / 57867.8%51.2%103 / 152 vs 296 / 578Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusLanger 2.00/Byrtus 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 2 · 14:30D. Langer—11911113S. Byrtus—211661
LAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer—4980S. Byrtus—1111113
LAug 31 · 06:00D. Langer—128281S. Byrtus—101111113
WAug 26 · 10:30D. Langer—1111113S. Byrtus—4770
D. Langer10
WSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162WSep 8 · 17:08D. Langer1.401111113D. Heczko2.758350WSep 8 · 16:30D. Langer1.73711811113D. Heczko2.0011611682LSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153LSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113
S. Byrtus10
LSep 11 · 19:00D. Heczko1.83121111113S. Byrtus1.831013981LSep 11 · 18:30S. Byrtus1.9111114722J. Schwan1.80861111113WSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113LSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490WSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113WSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.