TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103399
Played Sep 10Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411115511811––
Dalimil Machander
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
411115511811––
H2H Richard Skacelik 22–34 Dalimil Machander Richard Skacelik has won 22 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Machander
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-34 in 56
Machander
Correct
gap of 12 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1649 vs Machander 1572
Skacelik
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 60% vs Machander 40%
Skacelik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 60% vs Machander 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik +2 · Machander -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Machander) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 2.20 / Machander 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skacelik)+3.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103399
Skacelik2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 86 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Machander1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 50 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it68% 34 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkacelik2wins
AwayMachander8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMachander leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik33.3%1 of 3
AwayMachander85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik3Machander7n = 10Machander took 7 of 10
S2Skacelik5Machander5n = 10split evenly
S3Skacelik5Machander5n = 10split evenly
S4Skacelik6Machander4n = 10Skacelik took 6 of 10
S5Skacelik0Machander5n = 5Machander took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkacelikMachanderS − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.445.0−2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 440 vs 160 / 34447.7%46.5%210 / 440 vs 160 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachanderSkacelik 2.20/Machander 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Machander · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 20:58R. Skacelik—121119113D. Machander—1481781
LAug 17 · 20:00R. Skacelik—811117102D. Machander—119511123
WAug 4 · 20:00R. Skacelik—11116113D. Machander—751181
LAug 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik—87111182D. Machander—111159113
LJul 30 · 21:28R. Skacelik—511615112D. Machander—1191113133
LJul 30 · 19:30R. Skacelik—1291191D. Machander—14119113
LJul 26 · 07:00R. Skacelik—61251182D. Machander—1110118113
LJul 22 · 08:00R. Skacelik—111031132D. Machander—312115113
LJul 13 · 16:00R. Skacelik—1181171D. Machander—81113113
LJul 11 · 21:30R. Skacelik—7101161D. Machander—11125113
R. Skacelik10
LSep 10 · 09:30J. Cabak2.001111410123R. Skacelik1.73651112102WSep 10 · 08:00T. Petrek1.675940R. Skacelik2.101111113WSep 10 · 07:00J. Cabak2.1016351152R. Skacelik1.651411118113WSep 9 · 13:00S. Kysely1.619119111R. Skacelik2.2011511133WSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490LSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102LSep 9 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.737890S. Kysely2.001111113WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113
D. Machander10
LSep 10 · 09:00D. Machander1.831111951T. Petrek1.8313811113LSep 10 · 08:30J. Cabak2.0071111153D. Machander1.731177131WSep 10 · 07:30D. Machander2.2013118123T. Petrek1.6111411101LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790
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