TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104089
Played Sep 10Finished
Josef Cabak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111171171513––
Dalimil Machander
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:01 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeJosef Cabak to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
7111171171513––
H2H Josef Cabak 1–3 Dalimil Machander Josef Cabak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:01What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Machander
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Machander
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabak 1669 vs Machander 1552
Cabak
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabak 60% vs Machander 40%
Cabak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabak 60% vs Machander 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabak -1 · Machander -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cabak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabak 2.00 / Machander 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cabak)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104089
Cabak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 15 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Machander1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 50 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it68% 34 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeCabak1wins
AwayMachander3wins
Machander leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMachander100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabak1Machander3n = 4Machander took 3 of 4
S2Cabak0Machander4n = 4Machander took 4 of 4
S3Cabak2Machander2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricCabakMachanderC − MBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match28.036.2−8.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabakMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 191 vs 160 / 34453.4%46.5%102 / 191 vs 160 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.740.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabakCabak 2.00/Machander 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cabak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cabak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 3 · 06:00J. Cabak—941181D. Machander—11119113
WMay 21 · 09:30J. Cabak—11811113D. Machander—911891
LMay 21 · 08:00J. Cabak—5760D. Machander—1111113
LMar 4 · 09:00J. Cabak—7950D. Machander—1111113
J. Cabak10
WSep 10 · 09:30J. Cabak2.001111410123R. Skacelik1.73651112102LSep 10 · 07:00J. Cabak2.1016351152R. Skacelik1.651411118113WSep 10 · 06:00T. Petrek1.677970J. Cabak2.101111113WSep 8 · 13:30J. Cabak1.4611611113J. Levicky2.37711861WSep 8 · 12:00J. Cabak1.611112123J. Snr2.20510100LSep 8 · 11:30M. Heczko2.7511711113J. Cabak1.40911791WSep 8 · 10:00J. Cabak1.50111111113J. Levicky2.50561341LSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171
D. Machander10
LSep 10 · 09:00D. Machander1.831111951T. Petrek1.8313811113WSep 10 · 07:30D. Machander2.2013118123T. Petrek1.6111411101WSep 10 · 06:30R. Skacelik2.20411581D. Machander1.6111511113LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790
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