TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13122044
Played Sep 12Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12105111159111513
Richard Skacelik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 102 set 5, 15-13
102 points played in total.
H2H Dalimil Machander 36–23 Richard Skacelik Richard Skacelik has won 23 of their 59 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Machander beat Skacelik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skacelik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.80 / Skacelik 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skacelik)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13122044
Machander1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 51 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it67% 35 of 52
Skacelik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 87 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMachander7wins
AwaySkacelik3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMachander leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachander87.5%7 of 8
AwaySkacelikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machander8Skacelik2n = 10Machander took 8 of 10
S2Machander3Skacelik7n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10
S3Machander6Skacelik4n = 10Machander took 6 of 10
S4Machander4Skacelik5n = 9Skacelik took 5 of 9
S5Machander4Skacelik1n = 5Machander took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachanderSkacelikM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match44.139.9+4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 354 vs 212 / 44446.9%47.8%166 / 354 vs 212 / 444Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikMachander 1.80/Skacelik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 19:00D. Machander331111113R. Skacelik168440
WSep 10 · 06:30D. Machander3811511113R. Skacelik28411581
LAug 29 · 15:00D. Machander4496111172R. Skacelik40111134113
LAug 17 · 20:58D. Machander471481781R. Skacelik53121119113
WAug 17 · 20:00D. Machander48119511123R. Skacelik47811117102
LAug 4 · 20:00D. Machander31751181R. Skacelik3911116113
WAug 2 · 14:30D. Machander47111159113R. Skacelik4587111182
WJul 30 · 21:28D. Machander571191113133R. Skacelik48511615112
WJul 30 · 19:30D. Machander4514119113R. Skacelik411291191
WJul 26 · 07:00D. Machander511110118113R. Skacelik4261251182
D. Machander10
WSep 12 · 20:00D. Langer1.57114761D. Machander2.2581111113WSep 12 · 19:00R. Skacelik2.008440D. Machander1.731111113LSep 12 · 18:30D. Machander1.8396111192D. Heczko1.83111154113WSep 12 · 17:00D. Machander1.801411113A. Walek1.9112720WSep 12 · 16:00S. Byrtus1.738117101D. Machander2.0011611123LSep 12 · 15:00D. Heczko1.8311111113113D. Machander1.83131381132LSep 12 · 14:30D. Machander1.911110121182A. Walek1.80912146113LSep 10 · 09:00D. Machander1.831111951T. Petrek1.8313811113LSep 10 · 08:30J. Cabak2.0071111153D. Machander1.731177131WSep 10 · 07:30D. Machander2.2013118123T. Petrek1.6111411101
R. Skacelik10
WSep 12 · 20:30R. Skacelik1.671291111113D. Heczko2.10101131392LSep 12 · 19:00R. Skacelik2.008440D. Machander1.731111113WSep 12 · 18:00D. Langer1.839880R. Skacelik1.831111113LSep 10 · 09:30J. Cabak2.001111410123R. Skacelik1.73651112102WSep 10 · 08:00T. Petrek1.675940R. Skacelik2.101111113WSep 10 · 07:00J. Cabak2.1016351152R. Skacelik1.651411118113LSep 10 · 06:30R. Skacelik2.20411581D. Machander1.6111511113WSep 9 · 13:00S. Kysely1.619119111R. Skacelik2.2011511133WSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490LSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102
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