TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115449
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118411711611––
Dalimil Machander
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Dalimil Machander below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Daniel Langer at 61.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 4–1 Dalimil Machander Dalimil Machander has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Langer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Langer
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1658 vs Machander 1611
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 60% vs Machander 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 60% vs Machander 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +1 · Machander +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.57 / Machander 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Langer)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115449
Langer1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 88 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it98% 55 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it88% 65 of 74
Machander2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 72 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back34% 31 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back17% 9 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLanger4wins
AwayMachander1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderLanger leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger100%3 of 3
AwayMachandern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer3Machander2n = 5Langer took 3 of 5
S2Langer2Machander3n = 5Machander took 3 of 5
S3Langer2Machander3n = 5Machander took 3 of 5
S4Langer2Machander2n = 4split evenly
S5Langer3Machander0n = 3Langer took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricLangerMachanderL − MBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match42.442.6−0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 157 vs 165 / 35367.5%46.7%106 / 157 vs 165 / 353Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.140.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.57/Machander 2.25
Miss
What we said
62.9%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer55117711193D. Machander54911116172
WAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer44143115113D. Machander47121191142
LAug 30 · 12:00D. Langer165560D. Machander331111113
WAug 29 · 17:02D. Langer46111212113D. Machander398101471
WAug 29 · 16:30D. Langer517111111113D. Machander4011551362
D. Langer10
WSep 12 · 19:30D. Heczko2.389118111D. Langer1.5311611133LSep 12 · 18:00D. Langer1.839880R. Skacelik1.831111113WSep 11 · 21:30D. Langer1.63811117113J. Schwan2.1511861182LSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113WSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162WSep 8 · 17:08D. Langer1.401111113D. Heczko2.758350WSep 8 · 16:30D. Langer1.73711811113D. Heczko2.0011611682LSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153LSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252
D. Machander10
WSep 12 · 19:00R. Skacelik2.008440D. Machander1.731111113LSep 12 · 18:30D. Machander1.8396111192D. Heczko1.83111154113WSep 12 · 17:00D. Machander1.801411113A. Walek1.9112720WSep 12 · 16:00S. Byrtus1.738117101D. Machander2.0011611123LSep 12 · 15:00D. Heczko1.8311111113113D. Machander1.83131381132LSep 12 · 14:30D. Machander1.911110121182A. Walek1.80912146113LSep 10 · 09:00D. Machander1.831111951T. Petrek1.8313811113LSep 10 · 08:30J. Cabak2.0071111153D. Machander1.731177131WSep 10 · 07:30D. Machander2.2013118123T. Petrek1.6111411101WSep 10 · 06:30R. Skacelik2.20411581D. Machander1.6111511113
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