TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13113886
Played Sep 12Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11910121214116811
Adrian Walek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:23 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeAdrian Walek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Adrian Walek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 85 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Adrian Walek at 54.5%
85 points drawn · the score is 19 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Dalimil Machander 18–18 Adrian Walek Dead even across their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:23What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Walek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-18 in 36
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Machander 1572 vs Walek 1585
Walek
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 40% vs Walek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 50% vs Walek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander -2 · Walek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Walek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.91 / Walek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Walek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13113886
Machander1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 72 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back34% 31 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back17% 9 of 52
Walek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite47% won 65 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it66% 47 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMachander6wins
AwayWalek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMachander leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachander100%4 of 4
AwayWalek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machander4Walek6n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S2Machander4Walek6n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S3Machander8Walek2n = 10Machander took 8 of 10
S4Machander5Walek3n = 8Machander took 5 of 8
S5Machander2Walek1n = 3Machander took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachanderWalekM − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.936.0+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderWalekBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 347 vs 232 / 45446.7%51.1%162 / 347 vs 232 / 454Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WalekMachander 1.91/Walek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Walek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander331111113A. Walek237790
WAug 19 · 09:30D. Machander4311813113A. Walek327111131
WAug 19 · 06:00D. Machander551311911113A. Walek4215911522
LAug 6 · 08:30D. Machander49911101182A. Walek48115129113
LAug 4 · 21:00D. Machander36841591A. Walek46111113113
WAug 4 · 19:00D. Machander4211911113A. Walek28711821
WJul 22 · 09:29D. Machander48691111113A. Walek4311115972
LJul 22 · 06:30D. Machander32481191A. Walek3611113113
WJul 19 · 10:00D. Machander341211113A. Walek2510690
LJul 12 · 17:04D. Machander379711101A. Walek3711113123
D. Machander10
LSep 12 · 15:00D. Heczko1.8311111113113D. Machander1.83131381132LSep 10 · 09:00D. Machander1.831111951T. Petrek1.8313811113LSep 10 · 08:30J. Cabak2.0071111153D. Machander1.731177131WSep 10 · 07:30D. Machander2.2013118123T. Petrek1.6111411101WSep 10 · 06:30R. Skacelik2.20411581D. Machander1.6111511113LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102
A. Walek10
LSep 12 · 15:30A. Walek1.9156120S. Byrtus1.801111143LSep 12 · 13:30D. Unzeitig1.701115113A. Walek2.0081360LSep 12 · 12:30D. Unzeitig1.671111113A. Walek2.103660WSep 12 · 11:30A. Walek2.201111113Z. Pagac1.618870WSep 12 · 10:30M. Bereiter1.571112651A. Walek2.2571411113LSep 8 · 17:29A. Walek1.9161111382F. Laburda1.80119911113WSep 8 · 16:00F. Laburda1.7351111792A. Walek2.00114911113WSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153WSep 8 · 14:30A. Walek2.10918117113D. Heczko1.67111661182WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.