TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114981
Played Sep 12Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5116111214––––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-10
Point 53 set 3, 10-10 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.0%
53 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Adrian Walek 18–21 Samuel Byrtus Adrian Walek has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:54What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Byrtus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-21 in 39
Byrtus
Correct
gap of 3 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Walek 1595 vs Byrtus 1562
Walek
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Walek 60% vs Byrtus 40%
Walek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walek 70% vs Byrtus 50%
Walek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Walek +1 · Byrtus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 1.91 / Byrtus 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Byrtus)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114981
Walek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 92 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back35% 33 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back17% 7 of 42
Byrtus1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 92 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it73% 63 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWalek6wins
AwayByrtus4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWalek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWalek66.7%4 of 6
AwayByrtus50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek6Byrtus4n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S2Walek4Byrtus6n = 10Byrtus took 6 of 10
S3Walek6Byrtus4n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S4Walek6Byrtus3n = 9Walek took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWalekByrtusW − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.238.3+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 455 vs 298 / 58151.2%51.3%233 / 455 vs 298 / 581Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusWalek 1.91/Byrtus 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek4311911123S. Byrtus358116101
WAug 30 · 20:00A. Walek521191011113S. Byrtus4671112792
LAug 27 · 07:30A. Walek341167101S. Byrtus4061111123
WAug 26 · 13:30A. Walek3961111113S. Byrtus31115691
LAug 26 · 11:30A. Walek49119811102S. Byrtus48811116123
LAug 25 · 06:30A. Walek391381171S. Byrtus4215115113
WAug 23 · 12:59A. Walek341112113S. Byrtus2561090
LAug 23 · 11:00A. Walek34771191S. Byrtus4011117113
WAug 19 · 07:30A. Walek4312119113S. Byrtus371091171
WAug 14 · 11:30A. Walek4591111143S. Byrtus391188121
A. Walek10
WSep 12 · 14:30D. Machander1.911110121182A. Walek1.80912146113LSep 12 · 13:30D. Unzeitig1.701115113A. Walek2.0081360LSep 12 · 12:30D. Unzeitig1.671111113A. Walek2.103660WSep 12 · 11:30A. Walek2.201111113Z. Pagac1.618870WSep 12 · 10:30M. Bereiter1.571112651A. Walek2.2571411113LSep 8 · 17:29A. Walek1.9161111382F. Laburda1.80119911113WSep 8 · 16:00F. Laburda1.7351111792A. Walek2.00114911113WSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153WSep 8 · 14:30A. Walek2.10918117113D. Heczko1.67111661182WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113
S. Byrtus10
WSep 12 · 14:00S. Byrtus2.001112811113D. Heczko1.7371411872LSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus2.107680D. Heczko1.671111113WSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113LSep 11 · 19:00D. Heczko1.83121111113S. Byrtus1.831013981LSep 11 · 18:30S. Byrtus1.9111114722J. Schwan1.80861111113WSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113LSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490WSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113WSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572
Upcoming Matches
A. Walek
S. Byrtus
Nothing scheduled
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