TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092927
Played Sep 8Finished
Frantisek Laburda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511114119711911
Adrian Walek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Laburda to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Laburda above · Adrian Walek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Frantisek Laburda at 56.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Laburda 6–5 Adrian Walek Adrian Walek has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Laburda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Laburda 1716 vs Walek 1613
Laburda
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Laburda 80% vs Walek 60%
Laburda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Laburda 80% vs Walek 50%
Laburda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Laburda +1 · Walek +3
Walek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Laburda) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Laburda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLaburda 1.73 / Walek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Laburda)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092927
Laburda1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 14 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it64% 7 of 11
Walek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 92 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back36% 33 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back17% 7 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLaburda6wins
AwayWalek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLaburda leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLaburda100%4 of 4
AwayWalek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Laburda4Walek6n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S2Laburda4Walek6n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S3Laburda5Walek5n = 10split evenly
S4Laburda5Walek1n = 6Laburda took 5 of 6
S5Laburda2Walek1n = 3Laburda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLaburdaWalekL − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.835.4+0.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLaburdaWalekBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 149 vs 229 / 44855%51.1%82 / 149 vs 229 / 448Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LaburdaLaburda 1.73/Walek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Laburda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 06:30F. Laburda—61112153A. Walek—11310131
WJul 16 · 15:00F. Laburda—61111113A. Walek—119951
LJul 10 · 09:00F. Laburda—91050A. Walek—1112113
WJul 10 · 08:00F. Laburda—11711113A. Walek—311681
LJul 3 · 06:30F. Laburda—31270A. Walek—1114113
LJun 17 · 14:30F. Laburda—71110A. Walek—111323
LMar 19 · 15:30F. Laburda—23111142A. Walek—111129113
WMar 9 · 17:00F. Laburda—111199123A. Walek—871111102
WFeb 26 · 15:00F. Laburda—1181011113A. Walek—31112992
WDec 23 · 07:30F. Laburda—1411113A. Walek—12570
F. Laburda10
LSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122WSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252LAug 3 · 09:28F. Laburda1.8069130J. Simecek1.911111153WAug 3 · 08:00L. Martinak1.73111110892F. Laburda2.00771211113WAug 3 · 07:00J. Simecek1.8388111282F. Laburda1.831111810113WAug 3 · 06:30F. Laburda1.8361112153A. Walek1.8311310131WJul 31 · 17:29T. Petrek1.831110121232F. Laburda1.833121014113WJul 31 · 16:30F. Laburda1.6791111113S. Byrtus2.10115661LJul 31 · 15:00F. Laburda1.671176111T. Petrek2.1081111133WJul 31 · 14:00D. Machander1.8311381292F. Laburda1.837111110113
A. Walek10
WSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153WSep 8 · 14:30A. Walek2.10918117113D. Heczko1.67111661182WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070LAug 3 · 06:30F. Laburda1.8361112153A. Walek1.8311310131
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