TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12351522
Played Aug 3Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171171012811911
Frantisek Laburda
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Laburda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Frantisek Laburda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 97 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Frantisek Laburda at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 5–5 Frantisek Laburda Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Martinak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1639 vs Laburda 1712
Laburda
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 60% vs Laburda 80%
Laburda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 50% vs Laburda 90%
Laburda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak -1 · Laburda +4
Laburda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martinak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Laburda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.73 / Laburda 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Martinak)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12351522
Martinak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 41 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it74% 34 of 46
Laburda2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 13 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartinak5wins
AwayLaburda5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinak71.4%5 of 7
AwayLaburda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinak7Laburda3n = 10Martinak took 7 of 10
S2Martinak7Laburda3n = 10Martinak took 7 of 10
S3Martinak4Laburda6n = 10Laburda took 6 of 10
S4Martinak2Laburda4n = 6Laburda took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartinakLaburdaM − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.532.6+1.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakLaburdaBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 232 vs 80 / 14653%54.8%123 / 232 vs 80 / 146Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakMartinak 1.73/Laburda 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Laburda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 5 · 17:00L. Martinak—1311113F. Laburda—11480
LJun 5 · 15:30L. Martinak—118771F. Laburda—61111113
LMar 25 · 11:30L. Martinak—813120F. Laburda—1115143
WMar 9 · 18:30L. Martinak—1111113F. Laburda—3950
WMar 9 · 15:30L. Martinak—11511113F. Laburda—511991
LMar 9 · 12:00L. Martinak—611381F. Laburda—11911113
WNov 3 · 15:30L. Martinak—11116113F. Laburda—681131
WNov 3 · 11:00L. Martinak—1112113F. Laburda—31080
LOct 21 · 16:58L. Martinak—11116552F. Laburda—141111113
LOct 21 · 14:00L. Martinak—913481F. Laburda—111111113
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881
F. Laburda10
LSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122WSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252LAug 3 · 09:28F. Laburda1.8069130J. Simecek1.911111153WAug 3 · 07:00J. Simecek1.8388111282F. Laburda1.831111810113WAug 3 · 06:30F. Laburda1.8361112153A. Walek1.8311310131WJul 31 · 17:29T. Petrek1.831110121232F. Laburda1.833121014113WJul 31 · 16:30F. Laburda1.6791111113S. Byrtus2.10115661LJul 31 · 15:00F. Laburda1.671176111T. Petrek2.1081111133WJul 31 · 14:00D. Machander1.8311381292F. Laburda1.837111110113WJul 16 · 17:30F. Laburda3.051112113S. Byrtus1.2971040
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