TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12331900
Played Jul 31Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1173118111210911
Frantisek Laburda
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDalimil Machander to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Frantisek Laburda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Dalimil Machander at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Dalimil Machander 2–2 Frantisek Laburda Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:55What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Laburda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Machander 1651 vs Laburda 1679
Laburda
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 80% vs Laburda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 80% vs Laburda 60%
Machander
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander +3 · Laburda +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Machander)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Laburda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.83 / Laburda 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Machander)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12331900
Machander1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Laburda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMachander2wins
AwayLaburda2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machander2Laburda2n = 4split evenly
S2Machander1Laburda3n = 4Laburda took 3 of 4
S3Machander3Laburda1n = 4Machander took 3 of 4
S4Machander1Laburda3n = 4Laburda took 3 of 4
S5Machander2Laburda1n = 3Machander took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMachanderLaburdaM − LBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.843.0−1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderLaburdaBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 287 vs 75 / 14048.8%53.6%140 / 287 vs 75 / 140Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachanderMachander 1.83/Laburda 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Machander · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Laburda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 3 · 08:00D. Machander—861111113F. Laburda—11114732
LJun 9 · 16:00D. Machander—111211482F. Laburda—414911113
WMar 19 · 16:30D. Machander—111158113F. Laburda—79111192
LFeb 23 · 08:00D. Machander—661151F. Laburda—11117113
D. Machander10
LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790LAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970LAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer1.98143115113D. Machander1.73121191142WAug 30 · 12:00D. Machander1.911111113D. Langer1.805560
F. Laburda10
LSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122WSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252LAug 3 · 09:28F. Laburda1.8069130J. Simecek1.911111153WAug 3 · 08:00L. Martinak1.73111110892F. Laburda2.00771211113WAug 3 · 07:00J. Simecek1.8388111282F. Laburda1.831111810113WAug 3 · 06:30F. Laburda1.8361112153A. Walek1.8311310131WJul 31 · 17:29T. Petrek1.831110121232F. Laburda1.833121014113WJul 31 · 16:30F. Laburda1.6791111113S. Byrtus2.10115661LJul 31 · 15:00F. Laburda1.671176111T. Petrek2.1081111133WJul 16 · 17:30F. Laburda3.051112113S. Byrtus1.2971040
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