TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12350605
Played Aug 3Finished
Frantisek Laburda
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
61111312101513––
Adrian Walek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Laburda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Laburda above · Adrian Walek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 81 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Frantisek Laburda at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Laburda 6–5 Adrian Walek Adrian Walek has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Walek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Laburda 1707 vs Walek 1571
Laburda
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Laburda 80% vs Walek 60%
Laburda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Laburda 80% vs Walek 60%
Laburda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Laburda +2 · Walek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Laburda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Laburda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLaburda 1.83 / Walek 1.83
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Laburda)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12350605
Laburda1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Walek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLaburda6wins
AwayWalek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLaburda leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLaburda100%4 of 4
AwayWalek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Laburda4Walek6n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S2Laburda4Walek6n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S3Laburda5Walek5n = 10split evenly
S4Laburda5Walek1n = 6Laburda took 5 of 6
S5Laburda2Walek1n = 3Laburda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLaburdaWalekL − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.835.4+0.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLaburdaWalekBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 148 vs 181 / 35954.7%50.4%81 / 148 vs 181 / 359Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LaburdaLaburda 1.83/Walek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Laburda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Laburda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 06:30F. Laburda—61112153A. Walek—11310131
WJul 16 · 15:00F. Laburda—61111113A. Walek—119951
LJul 10 · 09:00F. Laburda—91050A. Walek—1112113
WJul 10 · 08:00F. Laburda—11711113A. Walek—311681
LJul 3 · 06:30F. Laburda—31270A. Walek—1114113
LJun 17 · 14:30F. Laburda—71110A. Walek—111323
LMar 19 · 15:30F. Laburda—23111142A. Walek—111129113
WMar 9 · 17:00F. Laburda—111199123A. Walek—871111102
WFeb 26 · 15:00F. Laburda—1181011113A. Walek—31112992
WDec 23 · 07:30F. Laburda—1411113A. Walek—12570
F. Laburda10
LSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122WSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252LAug 3 · 09:28F. Laburda1.8069130J. Simecek1.911111153WAug 3 · 08:00L. Martinak1.73111110892F. Laburda2.00771211113WAug 3 · 07:00J. Simecek1.8388111282F. Laburda1.831111810113WJul 31 · 17:29T. Petrek1.831110121232F. Laburda1.833121014113WJul 31 · 16:30F. Laburda1.6791111113S. Byrtus2.10115661LJul 31 · 15:00F. Laburda1.671176111T. Petrek2.1081111133WJul 31 · 14:00D. Machander1.8311381292F. Laburda1.837111110113WJul 16 · 17:30F. Laburda3.051112113S. Byrtus1.2971040
A. Walek10
WSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153WSep 8 · 14:30A. Walek2.10918117113D. Heczko1.67111661182WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113
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