TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12351430
Played Aug 3Finished
Jakub Simecek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8118111181210811
Frantisek Laburda
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Laburda to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Simecek above · Frantisek Laburda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Frantisek Laburda at 57.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simecek 1–1 Frantisek Laburda Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:03What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Laburda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1748 vs Laburda 1707
Simecek
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 80% vs Laburda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 90% vs Laburda 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek +1 · Laburda +3
Laburda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Laburda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Laburda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.83 / Laburda 1.83
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Laburda)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12351430
Simecek1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Laburda1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSimecek1wins
AwayLaburda1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSimecekLaburdaS − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.039.5+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekLaburdaBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 276 vs 81 / 14854.7%54.7%151 / 276 vs 81 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LaburdaSimecek 1.83/Laburda 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Laburda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Laburda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 3 · 09:28J. Simecek—1111153F. Laburda—69130
LAug 3 · 07:00J. Simecek—88111282F. Laburda—1111810113
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113
F. Laburda10
LSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122WSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252LAug 3 · 09:28F. Laburda1.8069130J. Simecek1.911111153WAug 3 · 08:00L. Martinak1.73111110892F. Laburda2.00771211113WAug 3 · 06:30F. Laburda1.8361112153A. Walek1.8311310131WJul 31 · 17:29T. Petrek1.831110121232F. Laburda1.833121014113WJul 31 · 16:30F. Laburda1.6791111113S. Byrtus2.10115661LJul 31 · 15:00F. Laburda1.671176111T. Petrek2.1081111133WJul 31 · 14:00D. Machander1.8311381292F. Laburda1.837111110113WJul 16 · 17:30F. Laburda3.051112113S. Byrtus1.2971040
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