TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115031
Played Sep 12Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118117––––
Zbynek Pagac
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZbynek Pagac to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Zbynek Pagac below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Zbynek Pagac at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pagac
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Walek 1645 vs Pagac 1558
Walek
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Walek 80% vs Pagac 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walek 50% vs Pagac 70%
Pagac
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Walek +1 · Pagac +3
Pagac
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pagac) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pagac form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 2.20 / Pagac 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Walek)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115031
Walek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 92 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back35% 33 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back17% 7 of 42
Pagac1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 125 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it92% 56 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it78% 85 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekPagacBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 451 vs 308 / 65251.2%47.2%231 / 451 vs 308 / 652Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PagacWalek 2.20/Pagac 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Pagac · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Walek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Walek10
WSep 12 · 10:30M. Bereiter1.571112651A. Walek2.2571411113LSep 8 · 17:29A. Walek1.9161111382F. Laburda1.80119911113WSep 8 · 16:00F. Laburda1.7351111792A. Walek2.00114911113WSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153WSep 8 · 14:30A. Walek2.10918117113D. Heczko1.67111661182WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113
Z. Pagac10
WSep 12 · 10:00Z. Pagac1.4461112113D. Unzeitig2.631181071WSep 11 · 17:30T. Kypr1.55113118122Z. Pagac2.30711611143WSep 11 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.571111113D. Unzeitig2.258680LSep 11 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.10149991T. Kypr1.67121111113WSep 11 · 14:00M. Holub2.201181071Z. Pagac1.6151112113WSep 10 · 21:28T. Kypr1.53661241Z. Pagac2.38111110113LSep 10 · 20:00T. Kypr1.67111111113Z. Pagac2.10813551WSep 10 · 19:00D. Unzeitig2.2511751452Z. Pagac1.579111112113WSep 10 · 18:30Z. Pagac1.6771111113T. Petrek2.10116791LSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011
Upcoming Matches
A. Walek
Z. Pagac1 of 3 neutral
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