TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13111617
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Kypr
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6116111210411––
Zbynek Pagac
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Kypr above · Zbynek Pagac below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 71 set 4, 4-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kypr 2–0 Zbynek Pagac Zbynek Pagac has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kypr beat Pagac 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kypr)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKypr 1.53 / Pagac 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kypr)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13111617
Kypr1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 29 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Pagac2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 107 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKypr2wins
AwayPagac0wins
Kypr leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKyprPagacK − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.535.0+9.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyprPagacBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 102 vs 303 / 64654.9%46.9%56 / 102 vs 303 / 646Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprKypr 1.53/Pagac 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pagac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 10 · 20:00T. Kypr—111111113Z. Pagac—813551
WSep 3 · 20:30T. Kypr—111111123Z. Pagac—9713101
T. Kypr10
WSep 10 · 20:00T. Kypr1.67111111113Z. Pagac2.10813551WSep 10 · 19:30T. Petrek2.637740T. Kypr1.441111113LSep 10 · 18:00T. Kypr1.808128111D. Unzeitig1.91111011133WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113WSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133
Z. Pagac10
LSep 10 · 20:00T. Kypr1.67111111113Z. Pagac2.10813551WSep 10 · 19:00D. Unzeitig2.2511751452Z. Pagac1.579111112113WSep 10 · 18:30Z. Pagac1.6771111113T. Petrek2.10116791LSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891LSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.5711811113Z. Pagac2.25911481LSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101WSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792LSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123
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