TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104982
Played Sep 10Finished
Zbynek Pagac
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711116117119––
Tomas Petrek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:43 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Petrek to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZbynek Pagac above · Tomas Petrek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Petrek at 67.7%
73 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:43What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pagac
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pagac 1411 vs Petrek 1619
Petrek
Wrong
both rated, 208 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pagac 0% vs Petrek 20%
Petrek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pagac 20% vs Petrek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pagac -5 · Petrek +1
Pagac
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pagac) · live re-read · sealed at 32% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petrek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPagac 1.67 / Petrek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Pagac)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104982
Pagac1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 124 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it91% 57 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 87 of 112
Petrek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 25 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back39% 10 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPagacPetrekBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 643 vs 115 / 22846.8%50.4%301 / 643 vs 115 / 228Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PagacPagac 1.67/Petrek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Pagac · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pagac won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Z. Pagac10
LSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.8011911113Z. Pagac1.91511891LSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.5711811113Z. Pagac2.25911481LSep 4 · 17:30R. Hudeczek1.8061111123Z. Pagac1.911164101WSep 4 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.001111811113R. Hudeczek1.7391311792WSep 4 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.2511712113M. Chalupa1.574111091LSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192LSep 3 · 21:30M. Chalupa1.52119114113Z. Pagac2.3561181162LSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123
T. Petrek10
WSep 10 · 09:00D. Machander1.831111951T. Petrek1.8313811113LSep 10 · 08:00T. Petrek1.675940R. Skacelik2.101111113LSep 10 · 07:30D. Machander2.2013118123T. Petrek1.6111411101LSep 10 · 06:00T. Petrek1.677970J. Cabak2.101111113LAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.737138111T. Petrek2.00111111133LAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:00J. Simecek1.73411711113T. Petrek2.0011711792
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