TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115065
Played Sep 12Finished
Samuel Byrtus
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171214811118117
David Heczko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · David Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-7
Point 99 set 5, 10-7 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.0%
99 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Samuel Byrtus 22–27 David Heczko Samuel Byrtus has won 22 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:06What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Heczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-27 in 49
Heczko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Byrtus 1559 vs Heczko 1608
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Byrtus 40% vs Heczko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Byrtus 40% vs Heczko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Byrtus -1 · Heczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heczko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsByrtus 2.00 / Heczko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heczko)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115065
Byrtus2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog46% won 77 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back31% 29 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Heczko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 105 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it94% 50 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it74% 78 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeByrtus3wins
AwayHeczko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHeczko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeByrtus75%3 of 4
AwayHeczko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Byrtus4Heczko6n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S2Byrtus5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Byrtus3Heczko7n = 10Heczko took 7 of 10
S4Byrtus2Heczko5n = 7Heczko took 5 of 7
S5Byrtus1Heczko2n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricByrtusHeczkoB − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.340.8−4.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricByrtusHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 580 vs 261 / 47651.2%54.8%297 / 580 vs 261 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoByrtus 2.00/Heczko 1.73
Miss
What we said
54%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus217680D. Heczko331111113
LSep 11 · 19:00S. Byrtus401013981D. Heczko45121111113
LSep 2 · 16:59S. Byrtus4281111572D. Heczko48118711113
LSep 2 · 16:00S. Byrtus2310850D. Heczko341211113
LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus33814110D. Heczko401116133
WAug 27 · 09:30S. Byrtus47111164153D. Heczko49861111132
LAug 27 · 08:00S. Byrtus45111161072D. Heczko49961112113
WAug 25 · 09:30S. Byrtus3811511113D. Heczko35811791
WAug 25 · 07:30S. Byrtus45111310113D. Heczko366111271
LAug 23 · 12:00S. Byrtus29551181D. Heczko3911116113
S. Byrtus10
WSep 12 · 15:30A. Walek1.9156120S. Byrtus1.801111143LSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus2.107680D. Heczko1.671111113WSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113LSep 11 · 19:00D. Heczko1.83121111113S. Byrtus1.831013981LSep 11 · 18:30S. Byrtus1.9111114722J. Schwan1.80861111113WSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113LSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490WSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113WSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572
D. Heczko10
WSep 12 · 15:00D. Heczko1.8311111113113D. Machander1.83131381132WSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus2.107680D. Heczko1.671111113LSep 11 · 20:30D. Heczko2.1071070J. Schwan1.671112113WSep 11 · 19:00D. Heczko1.83121111113S. Byrtus1.831013981LSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162LSep 8 · 17:08D. Langer1.401111113D. Heczko2.758350LSep 8 · 16:30D. Langer1.73711811113D. Heczko2.0011611682WSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122LSep 8 · 14:30A. Walek2.10918117113D. Heczko1.67111661182WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572
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