TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13121124
Played Sep 12Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412117112––––
Adrian Walek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Adrian Walek below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-1
Point 55 set 3, 10-1
55 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Dalimil Machander 18–18 Adrian Walek Dead even across their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Walek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.80 / Walek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Walek)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13121124
Machander1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 51 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it67% 35 of 52
Walek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 92 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back35% 33 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back17% 7 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMachander6wins
AwayWalek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMachander leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachander100%4 of 4
AwayWalek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machander4Walek6n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S2Machander4Walek6n = 10Walek took 6 of 10
S3Machander8Walek2n = 10Machander took 8 of 10
S4Machander5Walek3n = 8Machander took 5 of 8
S5Machander2Walek1n = 3Machander took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachanderWalekM − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.936.0+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderWalekBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 349 vs 232 / 45646.7%50.9%163 / 349 vs 232 / 456Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WalekMachander 1.80/Walek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Walek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander331111113A. Walek237790
WAug 19 · 09:30D. Machander4311813113A. Walek327111131
WAug 19 · 06:00D. Machander551311911113A. Walek4215911522
LAug 6 · 08:30D. Machander49911101182A. Walek48115129113
LAug 4 · 21:00D. Machander36841591A. Walek46111113113
WAug 4 · 19:00D. Machander4211911113A. Walek28711821
WJul 22 · 09:29D. Machander48691111113A. Walek4311115972
LJul 22 · 06:30D. Machander32481191A. Walek3611113113
WJul 19 · 10:00D. Machander341211113A. Walek2510690
LJul 12 · 17:04D. Machander379711101A. Walek3711113123
D. Machander10
WSep 12 · 16:00S. Byrtus1.738117101D. Machander2.0011611123LSep 12 · 15:00D. Heczko1.8311111113113D. Machander1.83131381132LSep 12 · 14:30D. Machander1.911110121182A. Walek1.80912146113LSep 10 · 09:00D. Machander1.831111951T. Petrek1.8313811113LSep 10 · 08:30J. Cabak2.0071111153D. Machander1.731177131WSep 10 · 07:30D. Machander2.2013118123T. Petrek1.6111411101WSep 10 · 06:30R. Skacelik2.20411581D. Machander1.6111511113LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121
A. Walek10
LSep 12 · 16:30D. Heczko1.674111111113A. Walek2.1011134272LSep 12 · 15:30A. Walek1.9156120S. Byrtus1.801111143WSep 12 · 14:30D. Machander1.911110121182A. Walek1.80912146113LSep 12 · 13:30D. Unzeitig1.701115113A. Walek2.0081360LSep 12 · 12:30D. Unzeitig1.671111113A. Walek2.103660WSep 12 · 11:30A. Walek2.201111113Z. Pagac1.618870WSep 12 · 10:30M. Bereiter1.571112651A. Walek2.2571411113LSep 8 · 17:29A. Walek1.9161111382F. Laburda1.80119911113WSep 8 · 16:00F. Laburda1.7351111792A. Walek2.00114911113WSep 8 · 15:00D. Langer1.73471111132A. Walek2.00111176153
Upcoming Matches
D. Machander
A. Walek
Nothing scheduled
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