TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12371499
Played Aug 7Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611311111––––
Tomas Varnuska
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Tomas Varnuska below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 43 set 3, 1-11 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 61.9%
43 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 5–4 Tomas Varnuska Tomas Varnuska has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vedmoch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1575 vs Varnuska 1527
Vedmoch
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 40% vs Varnuska 20%
Vedmoch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 60% vs Varnuska 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch -1 · Varnuska -3
Varnuska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vedmoch) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varnuska form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 1.57 / Varnuska 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vedmoch)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12371499
Vedmoch1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
As favourite61% won 199 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it95% 98 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it80% 156 of 194
Varnuska2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 10 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back27% 3 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back38% 3 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVedmoch5wins
AwayVarnuska4wins
6 of 9 to a deciderVedmoch leads 5–4, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmochn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVarnuska57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch2Varnuska7n = 9Varnuska took 7 of 9
S2Vedmoch3Varnuska6n = 9Varnuska took 6 of 9
S3Vedmoch6Varnuska3n = 9Vedmoch took 6 of 9
S4Vedmoch4Varnuska2n = 6Vedmoch took 4 of 6
S5Vedmoch4Varnuska2n = 6Vedmoch took 4 of 6
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricVedmochVarnuskaVedmoch − VarnuskaBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match36.237.2−1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochVarnuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime698 / 1303 vs 56 / 12053.6%46.7%698 / 1303 vs 56 / 120Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochVedmoch 1.57/Varnuska 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.9%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Varnuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 7 · 08:58M. Vedmoch116230T. Varnuska331111113
LAug 7 · 07:30M. Vedmoch106310T. Varnuska331111113
WMay 27 · 07:30M. Vedmoch47771111113T. Varnuska3411113542
WApr 29 · 07:00M. Vedmoch331111113T. Varnuska187560
LMar 31 · 09:01M. Vedmoch48411121292T. Varnuska551191014113
WMar 31 · 06:00M. Vedmoch42111145113T. Varnuska4285111172
LFeb 6 · 10:00M. Vedmoch44510111172T. Varnuska46111284113
WFeb 6 · 08:30M. Vedmoch40341111113T. Varnuska3611113742
WNov 21 · 08:00M. Vedmoch511081111113T. Varnuska3812115552
M. Vedmoch10
LSep 11 · 02:59M. Sobisek1.361110511133M. Vedmoch3.00512117112LSep 11 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.401311113M. Vedmoch2.7511450LSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.2581212113M. Volf1.5711101081LSep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.7551141352V. Cermak1.401161111113WSep 10 · 17:30M. Kolar2.758590M. Vedmoch1.401111113WSep 10 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.40511712113M. Kolar2.75117111042LSep 10 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0081112113M. Vedmoch1.731171061WSep 10 · 14:00M. Vedmoch1.61121111113M. Sedlak2.20146751WSep 10 · 02:58A. Hlawatschke1.7376110M. Vedmoch2.001111133
T. Varnuska10
LSep 15 · 06:00T. Varnuska2.3871050P. Zmuda1.531112113LAug 14 · 08:59T. Varnuska1.731110761D. Oborny2.0041211113WAug 14 · 08:30T. Varnuska1.80118614113D. Oborny1.91811111232LAug 14 · 07:00T. Varnuska2.2561540J. Stolfa1.571117113LAug 14 · 06:00T. Janata1.5012811113T. Varnuska2.501011861WAug 7 · 08:58T. Varnuska1.911111113M. Vedmoch1.806230LAug 7 · 08:00T. Varnuska1.73610100J. Plachy2.001112123LAug 7 · 06:00T. Varnuska1.80136741R. Pavelka1.91111111113LJul 21 · 08:58T. Varnuska2.1011114462D. Tuma1.67681111113LJul 21 · 08:00T. Varnuska2.508111111112D. Tuma1.50119137133
Upcoming Matches
M. Vedmoch
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T. Varnuska
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