Tomas Varnuska vs Michal Vesely 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13129655

Played Sep 15Finished

Tomas Varnuska

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

7116111161191614

Michal Vesely

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Michal Vesely to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingTomas Varnuska above · Michal Vesely below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 16-14

Point 102 set 5, 16-14 — our read held Michal Vesely at 54.0%

102 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:12

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Vesely

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Varnuska 1518 vs Vesely 1522

Vesely

Wrong

both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Varnuska 40% vs Vesely 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Varnuska 40% vs Vesely 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Varnuska +1 · Vesely -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vesely) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vesely form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVarnuska 2.10 / Vesely 1.67

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Vesely)+0.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13129655

Varnuska2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog43% won 9 of 21

Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10

Down 0–2, comes back29% 2 of 7

Vesely1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite55% won 24 of 44

Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15

Up 1–0, closes it91% 19 of 21

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricVarnuskaVeselyBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 110 vs 69 / 12646.4%54.8%51 / 110 vs 69 / 126Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vesely

Varnuska 2.10/Vesely 1.67

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.8%

Vesely · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Varnuska won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

T. Varnuska10