TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129405
Played Sep 14Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114116––––
Michal Vesely
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Michal Vesely below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 48 set 3, 11-6
48 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 1–1 Michal Vesely Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Vesely beat Cermak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cermak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vesely form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 1.83 / Vesely 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cermak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129405
Cermak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Vesely1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCermak1wins
AwayVesely1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricCermakVeselyC − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.537.5+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakVeselyBasisWin rate · lifetime547 / 1077 vs 68 / 12350.8%55.3%547 / 1077 vs 68 / 123Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakCermak 1.83/Vesely 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 14 · 10:30V. Cermak331111113M. Vesely239950
LSep 14 · 06:30V. Cermak501111107112M. Vesely52971211133
V. Cermak10
LSep 14 · 12:00D. Tuma2.10411119123V. Cermak1.67118911102LSep 14 · 11:00F. Just2.25811117123V. Cermak1.57119911102WSep 14 · 10:30V. Cermak1.831111113M. Vesely1.839950WSep 14 · 09:28J. Stolfa2.10213681V. Cermak1.67111111113WSep 14 · 08:30P. Zmuda2.00411441V. Cermak1.7311811113WSep 14 · 07:30V. Cermak1.611111119113J. Stolfa2.2013991162LSep 14 · 06:30M. Vesely2.25971211133V. Cermak1.571111107112LSep 12 · 02:58R. Krejci2.00119611113V. Cermak1.7371111592LSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113LSep 12 · 01:00V. Cermak2.00891111112S. Kadavy1.73111147133
M. Vesely10
LSep 14 · 12:30F. Just1.61117611113M. Vesely2.2081111942WSep 14 · 11:30M. Vesely2.10711148113D. Tuma1.67116121182LSep 14 · 10:30V. Cermak1.831111113M. Vesely1.839950WSep 14 · 09:00P. Zmuda1.73911681M. Vesely2.0011611113LSep 14 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.671111113M. Vesely2.109690LSep 14 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.67591111113M. Vesely2.1011114992WSep 14 · 06:30M. Vesely2.25971211133V. Cermak1.571111107112LSep 10 · 08:58T. Vinter1.7311711123M. Vesely2.002116101LSep 10 · 08:30T. Vinter2.0011811113M. Vesely1.73511641LSep 10 · 07:30M. Vesely2.00118111072J. Stolfa1.73711912113
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