TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128546
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
2111311611811––
Vladimir Cermak
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 3–11 Vladimir Cermak Jakub Stolfa has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Cermak beat Stolfa 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cermak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cermak form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 2.10 / Cermak 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stolfa)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128546
Stolfa2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 58 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back39% 24 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Cermak1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 142 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it91% 71 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it78% 114 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa2wins
AwayCermak8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCermak leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa25%1 of 4
AwayCermak83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa4Cermak6n = 10Cermak took 6 of 10
S2Stolfa2Cermak8n = 10Cermak took 8 of 10
S3Stolfa3Cermak7n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S4Stolfa5Cermak1n = 6Stolfa took 5 of 6
S5Stolfa0Cermak4n = 4Cermak took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaCermakS − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.340.8−6.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 352 vs 545 / 107352.3%50.8%184 / 352 vs 545 / 1073Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakStolfa 2.10/Cermak 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 07:30J. Stolfa4813991162V. Cermak531111119113
LSep 8 · 14:00J. Stolfa3611311562V. Cermak44511611113
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa49514611132V. Cermak581112119153
LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa5012991192V. Cermak521011119113
WAug 25 · 19:30J. Stolfa4013511113V. Cermak331111291
LAug 21 · 11:00J. Stolfa2786130V. Cermak371111153
LAug 8 · 16:00J. Stolfa176380V. Cermak321111103
WApr 9 · 07:30J. Stolfa43101111113V. Cermak33125971
LJan 27 · 13:57J. Stolfa186660V. Cermak331111113
LJan 27 · 12:30J. Stolfa157530V. Cermak331111113
J. Stolfa10
WSep 14 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.671111113M. Vesely2.109690LSep 14 · 07:30V. Cermak1.611111119113J. Stolfa2.2013991162WSep 14 · 06:00J. Stolfa1.83711116123P. Zmuda1.83119911102LSep 10 · 20:58M. Volf2.3811911113J. Stolfa1.53511581WSep 10 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.7391111113M. Volf2.00117751LSep 10 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.0011115113J. Stolfa1.73991141LSep 10 · 18:00J. Stolfa1.7311450K. Kapras2.001311113WSep 10 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.8011811762J. Stolfa1.91911911113LSep 10 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.831162101J. Svoboda1.8381111123WSep 10 · 07:30M. Vesely2.00118111072J. Stolfa1.73711912113
V. Cermak10
WSep 14 · 08:30P. Zmuda2.00411441V. Cermak1.7311811113WSep 14 · 07:30V. Cermak1.611111119113J. Stolfa2.2013991162LSep 14 · 06:30M. Vesely2.25971211133V. Cermak1.571111107112LSep 12 · 02:58R. Krejci2.00119611113V. Cermak1.7371111592LSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113LSep 12 · 01:00V. Cermak2.00891111112S. Kadavy1.73111147133LSep 12 · 24:00M. Sopko1.731111113V. Cermak2.001860WSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci2.008490V. Cermak1.731111113LSep 11 · 03:30M. Vizek1.5081111123V. Cermak2.501158101LSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102
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