TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129380
Played Sep 15Finished
Michal Vesely
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115118––––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Vesely to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vesely above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Michal Vesely at 56.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vesely 1–0 Jaroslav Prokupek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:51What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vesely
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vesely 1533 vs Prokupek 1516
Vesely
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesely 40% vs Prokupek 80%
Prokupek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesely 30% vs Prokupek 50%
Prokupek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesely -2 · Prokupek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vesely) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesely 1.73 / Prokupek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Vesely)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129380
Vesely1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 24 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Prokupek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 89 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVesely1wins
AwayProkupek0wins
Vesely leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVeselyProkupekV − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeselyProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 125 vs 658 / 138455.2%47.5%69 / 125 vs 658 / 1384Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeselyVesely 1.73/Prokupek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Vesely · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vesely won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 15 · 06:30M. Vesely331111113J. Prokupek229580
M. Vesely10
LSep 15 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.91115119113M. Vesely1.8091131172LSep 14 · 13:00V. Cermak1.831111113M. Vesely1.835460LSep 14 · 12:30F. Just1.61117611113M. Vesely2.2081111942WSep 14 · 11:30M. Vesely2.10711148113D. Tuma1.67116121182LSep 14 · 10:30V. Cermak1.831111113M. Vesely1.839950WSep 14 · 09:00P. Zmuda1.73911681M. Vesely2.0011611113LSep 14 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.671111113M. Vesely2.109690LSep 14 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.67591111113M. Vesely2.1011114992WSep 14 · 06:30M. Vesely2.25971211133V. Cermak1.571111107112LSep 10 · 08:58T. Vinter1.7311711123M. Vesely2.002116101
J. Prokupek10
WSep 14 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.611111113L. Krok2.209670LSep 14 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.914114101J. Dedek1.8011811123WSep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761111113L. Krok2.10119551WSep 14 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2.0051290J. Prokupek1.731114113WSep 14 · 02:58J. Dedek1.80711961J. Prokupek1.9111611113LSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8381111113J. Prokupek1.83114611WSep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.538111110113P. Fojt2.3811541232LSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123LSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992LSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102
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