TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13131455
Played Sep 14Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116117––––
Lukas Krok
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 56.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 5–2 Lukas Krok Lukas Krok has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 21:04What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Prokupek
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1502 vs Krok 1544
Krok
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Krok 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 40% vs Krok 70%
Krok
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek -1 · Krok +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Prokupek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.61 / Krok 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Prokupek)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13131455
Prokupek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 100 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it91% 57 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it71% 72 of 101
Krok2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 56 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeProkupek5wins
AwayKrok2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderProkupek leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek100%3 of 3
AwayKrok50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek3Krok4n = 7Krok took 4 of 7
S2Prokupek5Krok2n = 7Prokupek took 5 of 7
S3Prokupek4Krok3n = 7Prokupek took 4 of 7
S4Prokupek3Krok1n = 4Prokupek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricProkupekKrokP − KBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.931.7+5.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime657 / 1382 vs 178 / 37647.5%47.3%657 / 1382 vs 178 / 376Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokProkupek 1.61/Krok 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek3961111113L. Krok30119551
LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek29511491L. Krok3711411113
WSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek531191111113L. Krok3941113652
WAug 21 · 21:28J. Prokupek44101211113L. Krok351210581
LAug 21 · 20:30J. Prokupek2610970L. Krok341211113
WJul 6 · 18:30J. Prokupek331111113L. Krok206680
WMay 20 · 19:00J. Prokupek341111123L. Krok2789100
J. Prokupek10
LSep 14 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.914114101J. Dedek1.8011811123WSep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761111113L. Krok2.10119551WSep 14 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2.0051290J. Prokupek1.731114113WSep 14 · 02:58J. Dedek1.80711961J. Prokupek1.9111611113LSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8381111113J. Prokupek1.83114611WSep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.538111110113P. Fojt2.3811541232LSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123LSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992LSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102LSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113
L. Krok10
WSep 14 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63551191L. Krok1.4411113113LSep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761111113L. Krok2.10119551WSep 14 · 18:30L. Krok2.751111118113J. Dedek1.4058131172WSep 11 · 21:28K. Novak1.538870L. Krok2.381111113LSep 11 · 20:00L. Krok1.73113721K. Novak2.0041111113WSep 11 · 19:30T. Kolenic1.57116761L. Krok2.2541111113WSep 11 · 18:00L. Krok1.80911116113K. Darin1.9111761192WSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113LSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652WSep 10 · 19:30L. Krok1.611261011113J. Jnr2.20101112892
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