TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13127511
Played Sep 14Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116911611––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 72 set 4, 6-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 36–33 Jaroslav Prokupek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 33 of their 69 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Dedek beat Prokupek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.80 / Prokupek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dedek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13127511
Dedek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 145 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it81% 108 of 134
Prokupek1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 91 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back17% 19 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek6wins
AwayProkupek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek80%4 of 5
AwayProkupek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek5Prokupek5n = 10split evenly
S2Dedek6Prokupek4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S3Dedek5Prokupek5n = 10split evenly
S4Dedek5Prokupek3n = 8Dedek took 5 of 8
S5Dedek2Prokupek1n = 3Dedek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekProkupekD − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.334.1+4.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 934 vs 654 / 137851.9%47.5%485 / 934 vs 654 / 1378Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.80/Prokupek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 20:30J. Dedek3611311113J. Prokupek31611681
LSep 4 · 03:00J. Dedek34711971J. Prokupek3711411113
WSep 3 · 23:00J. Dedek48871111113J. Prokupek3611114462
LAug 27 · 11:30J. Dedek29512751J. Prokupek43111011113
LAug 24 · 18:00J. Dedek315511101J. Prokupek3811114123
WAug 24 · 02:00J. Dedek331111113J. Prokupek138320
LAug 21 · 18:30J. Dedek4311581182J. Prokupek45411118113
WAug 21 · 02:00J. Dedek45111211113J. Prokupek356101361
WAug 16 · 22:00J. Dedek351113113J. Prokupek2051140
WJul 13 · 03:00J. Dedek49711911113J. Prokupek4311811582
J. Dedek10
WSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113LSep 14 · 01:00J. Plachy1.671111113J. Dedek2.104560WSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek1.3611118113P. Fojt3.00671151WSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992WSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.632550LSep 12 · 02:30T. Janata1.40711611113J. Dedek2.7511711662WSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113WSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142LSep 11 · 22:00J. Dedek1.4091161132Y. Holovatiuk2.75115113113WSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950
J. Prokupek10
LSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8381111113J. Prokupek1.83114611WSep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.538111110113P. Fojt2.3811541232LSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123LSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992LSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102LSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113WSep 13 · 11:00J. Prokupek1.67511311113F. Jungman2.1011911982LSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951LSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113LSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113
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