TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124359
Played Sep 14Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111214911––––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 62 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 13–11 Jaroslav Prokupek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Holovatiuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1506 vs Prokupek 1487
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 20% vs Prokupek 40%
Prokupek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 40% vs Prokupek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk -4 · Prokupek +1
Holovatiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prokupek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 2.00 / Prokupek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holovatiuk)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124359
Holovatiuk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 57 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 64
Prokupek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 100 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it91% 57 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it71% 72 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk6wins
AwayProkupek4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk100%3 of 3
AwayProkupek57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk3Prokupek7n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S2Holovatiuk3Prokupek7n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S3Holovatiuk6Prokupek4n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S4Holovatiuk6Prokupek2n = 8Holovatiuk took 6 of 8
S5Holovatiuk4Prokupek2n = 6Holovatiuk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukProkupekH − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.642.3−0.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 686 vs 655 / 137949.7%47.5%341 / 686 vs 655 / 1379Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekHolovatiuk 2.00/Prokupek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk45116116113J. Prokupek3961151162
WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk47111114113J. Prokupek341381211
WAug 24 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk44111111113J. Prokupek33513691
WAug 22 · 11:30Y. Holovatiuk491241111113J. Prokupek46101151372
LMar 22 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk43510111162J. Prokupek51111298113
WMar 22 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk49811612123J. Prokupek451131110102
LMar 18 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk2251070J. Prokupek341112113
LMar 15 · 13:30Y. Holovatiuk4799111532J. Prokupek551111913113
WMar 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk45511611123J. Prokupek49119118102
LFeb 7 · 12:00Y. Holovatiuk25123100J. Prokupek371411123
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.632550LSep 12 · 02:00J. Plachy1.5711118113Y. Holovatiuk2.25471141LSep 12 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk2.63121155122T. Dousa1.441041111143LSep 11 · 23:00Y. Holovatiuk3.501081121T. Janata1.2812119113WSep 11 · 22:00J. Dedek1.4091161132Y. Holovatiuk2.75115113113WSep 10 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk1.831111113J. Jnr1.839890WSep 10 · 20:00J. Jnr1.6188120Y. Holovatiuk2.201111143WSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113LSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113LSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.834980J. Jnr1.831111113
J. Prokupek10
WSep 14 · 02:58J. Dedek1.80711961J. Prokupek1.9111611113LSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8381111113J. Prokupek1.83114611WSep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.538111110113P. Fojt2.3811541232LSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123LSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992LSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102LSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113WSep 13 · 11:00J. Prokupek1.67511311113F. Jungman2.1011911982LSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951LSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Holovatiuk
J. Prokupek
Sep 14 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91J. Dedek1.80—Sep 15 · 06:30J. Prokupek2.00M. Vesely1.73—Sep 15 · 07:30J. Prokupek1.83T. Varnuska1.83—Sep 15 · 08:30J. Prokupek2.25P. Zmuda1.57—Sep 15 · 18:30J. Prokupek1.67L. Krok2.10—Sep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek1.53K. Darin2.38—Sep 15 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.73Y. Holovatiuk2.00—
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