TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124336
Played Sep 14Finished
Lukas Krok
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151181113811117
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Krok above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 96 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.4%
96 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krok 7–14 Jiri Dedek Lukas Krok has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:59What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-14 in 21
Dedek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krok 1537 vs Dedek 1520
Krok
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krok 80% vs Dedek 60%
Krok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krok 80% vs Dedek 60%
Krok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krok +1 · Dedek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrok 2.75 / Dedek 1.40
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Dedek)-1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124336
Krok2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 56 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Dedek1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 146 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it81% 109 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrok3wins
AwayDedek7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrok60%3 of 5
AwayDedek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krok5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S2Krok4Dedek6n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S3Krok2Dedek8n = 10Dedek took 8 of 10
S4Krok3Dedek5n = 8Dedek took 5 of 8
S5Krok2Dedek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrokDedekK − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.340.5−5.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 377 vs 485 / 93547%51.9%177 / 377 vs 485 / 935Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekKrok 2.75/Dedek 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 19 · 20:58L. Krok228770J. Dedek331111113
WJun 19 · 18:00L. Krok46116711113J. Dedek4671111982
LMay 27 · 18:00L. Krok31119921J. Dedek3631111113
WApr 18 · 20:30L. Krok47111156143J. Dedek39321111122
WMar 26 · 20:30L. Krok4011117113J. Dedek33951181
LNov 24 · 22:30L. Krok3861151152J. Dedek46115118113
LNov 24 · 20:30L. Krok358101251J. Dedek44111210113
LNov 18 · 22:30L. Krok36821791J. Dedek48111115113
LNov 18 · 20:00L. Krok3711116362J. Dedek44831111113
LOct 28 · 22:00L. Krok2145120J. Dedek361111143
L. Krok10
LSep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761111113L. Krok2.10119551WSep 11 · 21:28K. Novak1.538870L. Krok2.381111113LSep 11 · 20:00L. Krok1.73113721K. Novak2.0041111113WSep 11 · 19:30T. Kolenic1.57116761L. Krok2.2541111113WSep 11 · 18:00L. Krok1.80911116113K. Darin1.9111761192WSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113LSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652WSep 10 · 19:30L. Krok1.611261011113J. Jnr2.20101112892WSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113WSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101
J. Dedek10
LSep 14 · 19:30J. Dedek1.4061141182Y. Holovatiuk2.75118117113LSep 14 · 02:58J. Dedek1.80711961J. Prokupek1.9111611113WSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113LSep 14 · 01:00J. Plachy1.671111113J. Dedek2.104560WSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek1.3611118113P. Fojt3.00671151WSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992WSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.632550LSep 12 · 02:30T. Janata1.40711611113J. Dedek2.7511711662WSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113WSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142
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