TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124358
Played Sep 14Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611119115115––
Lukas Krok
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Krok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Lukas Krok at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 5–2 Lukas Krok Lukas Krok has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Prokupek
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1515 vs Krok 1533
Krok
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Krok 80%
Krok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 40% vs Krok 80%
Krok
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +2 · Krok +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prokupek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.67 / Krok 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prokupek)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13124358
Prokupek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 100 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it91% 57 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it71% 72 of 101
Krok2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 56 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeProkupek5wins
AwayKrok2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderProkupek leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek100%3 of 3
AwayKrok50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek3Krok4n = 7Krok took 4 of 7
S2Prokupek5Krok2n = 7Prokupek took 5 of 7
S3Prokupek4Krok3n = 7Prokupek took 4 of 7
S4Prokupek3Krok1n = 4Prokupek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricProkupekKrokP − KBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.931.7+5.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime657 / 1381 vs 177 / 37547.6%47.2%657 / 1381 vs 177 / 375Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekProkupek 1.67/Krok 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek3961111113L. Krok30119551
LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek29511491L. Krok3711411113
WSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek531191111113L. Krok3941113652
WAug 21 · 21:28J. Prokupek44101211113L. Krok351210581
LAug 21 · 20:30J. Prokupek2610970L. Krok341211113
WJul 6 · 18:30J. Prokupek331111113L. Krok206680
WMay 20 · 19:00J. Prokupek341111123L. Krok2789100
J. Prokupek10
WSep 14 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2.0051290J. Prokupek1.731114113WSep 14 · 02:58J. Dedek1.80711961J. Prokupek1.9111611113LSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8381111113J. Prokupek1.83114611WSep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.538111110113P. Fojt2.3811541232LSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123LSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992LSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102LSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113WSep 13 · 11:00J. Prokupek1.67511311113F. Jungman2.1011911982LSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951
L. Krok10
WSep 14 · 18:30L. Krok2.751111118113J. Dedek1.4058131172WSep 11 · 21:28K. Novak1.538870L. Krok2.381111113LSep 11 · 20:00L. Krok1.73113721K. Novak2.0041111113WSep 11 · 19:30T. Kolenic1.57116761L. Krok2.2541111113WSep 11 · 18:00L. Krok1.80911116113K. Darin1.9111761192WSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113LSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652WSep 10 · 19:30L. Krok1.611261011113J. Jnr2.20101112892WSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113WSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101
Upcoming Matches
J. Prokupek
Sep 14 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91J. Dedek1.80—Sep 15 · 06:30J. Prokupek2.00M. Vesely1.73—Sep 15 · 07:30J. Prokupek1.83T. Varnuska1.83—Sep 15 · 08:30J. Prokupek2.25P. Zmuda1.57—Sep 15 · 18:30J. Prokupek1.67L. Krok2.10—Sep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek1.53K. Darin2.38—Sep 15 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.73Y. Holovatiuk2.00—
L. Krok
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