TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13117069
Played Sep 11Finished
Kamil Novak
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811711––––
Lukas Krok
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingKamil Novak above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11
56 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Novak 5–1 Lukas Krok Lukas Krok has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Novak beat Krok 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Novak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovak 1.53 / Krok 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Novak)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13117069
Novak1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 16 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Krok2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 60 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeNovak5wins
AwayKrok1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderNovak leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovak100%3 of 3
AwayKrok33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novak3Krok3n = 6split evenly
S2Novak4Krok2n = 6Novak took 4 of 6
S3Novak4Krok2n = 6Novak took 4 of 6
S4Novak4Krok1n = 5Novak took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricNovakKrokN − KBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match40.031.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 296 vs 177 / 37747.6%47%141 / 296 vs 177 / 377Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakNovak 1.53/Krok 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 11 · 20:00K. Novak—41111113L. Krok—113721
LJun 10 · 18:30K. Novak—691271L. Krok—111110113
WJan 15 · 22:30K. Novak—119911113L. Krok—41111452
WJan 15 · 19:00K. Novak—91111113L. Krok—117741
WAug 1 · 18:00K. Novak—1111113L. Krok—9350
WMar 25 · 20:00K. Novak—11128123L. Krok—81011101
K. Novak10
WSep 11 · 20:00L. Krok1.73113721K. Novak2.0041111113WSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113WSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692WAug 21 · 20:58K. Novak1.0811511123J. Steffan7.007118101WAug 21 · 20:00J. Steffan6.504970K. Novak1.101111113LAug 21 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38511114143K. Novak1.53119611122LAug 21 · 18:30K. Novak1.619980F. Jungman2.201111113WAug 14 · 21:30K. Novak1.6191111113Y. Holovatiuk2.20115851LAug 14 · 20:30J. Didi2.101111410113K. Novak1.6764111282WAug 14 · 19:30K. Novak2.101111113Y. Holovatiuk1.678980
L. Krok10
LSep 11 · 20:00L. Krok1.73113721K. Novak2.0041111113WSep 11 · 19:30T. Kolenic1.57116761L. Krok2.2541111113WSep 11 · 18:00L. Krok1.80911116113K. Darin1.9111761192WSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113LSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652WSep 10 · 19:30L. Krok1.611261011113J. Jnr2.20101112892WSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113WSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570WSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123
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