TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13124217
Played Sep 13Finished
Pavel Hala
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1198111210118––
Lukas Provaznik
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPavel Hala above · Lukas Provaznik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8
80 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Hala 15–8 Lukas Provaznik Lukas Provaznik has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Hala beat Provaznik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Hala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Provaznik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHala 1.53 / Provaznik 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Hala)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13124217
Hala1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 66 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it65% 56 of 86
Provaznik2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 52 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back30% 18 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHala8wins
AwayProvaznik2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHala leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHala85.7%6 of 7
AwayProvaznik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hala7Provaznik3n = 10Hala took 7 of 10
S2Hala8Provaznik2n = 10Hala took 8 of 10
S3Hala6Provaznik4n = 10Hala took 6 of 10
S4Hala4Provaznik3n = 7Hala took 4 of 7
S5Hala3Provaznik2n = 5Hala took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHalaProvaznikH − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.936.8+6.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHalaProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 616 vs 153 / 31350.7%48.9%312 / 616 vs 153 / 313Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HalaHala 1.53/Provaznik 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Hala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:30P. Hala331111113L. Provaznik229850
WSep 2 · 13:45P. Hala4111811113L. Provaznik35711891
LApr 24 · 20:13P. Hala4511911682L. Provaznik49711911113
WApr 24 · 17:45P. Hala4011117113L. Provaznik31681161
WJan 25 · 09:00P. Hala50812911103L. Provaznik46111011592
WJan 12 · 18:15P. Hala341111123L. Provaznik2578100
WAug 31 · 14:15P. Hala511012117113L. Provaznik46121041192
WAug 29 · 14:00P. Hala331111113L. Provaznik165470
LJul 27 · 09:05P. Hala579161011112L. Provaznik581114128133
WJul 27 · 08:00P. Hala45111166113L. Provaznik4073111182
P. Hala10
WSep 13 · 08:00P. Hala1.83101211113L. Kolman1.831210291WSep 13 · 06:30L. Provaznik2.009850P. Hala1.731111113LSep 13 · 06:00R. Merkl2.25121174113P. Hala1.57105111172LSep 11 · 17:03P. Hala1.6713760O. Horak2.101511113LSep 11 · 16:00P. Hala2.2511551152V. Lopata1.57911118113WSep 11 · 14:30A. Pavlik1.83137110P. Hala1.831511133WSep 11 · 14:00O. Horak2.0039110P. Hala1.731111133LSep 9 · 17:03P. Hala1.5071131192P. Provaznik2.50119118113WSep 9 · 16:00P. Hala1.8317911113L. Kolman1.831511351WSep 9 · 14:30P. Provaznik2.503111051P. Hala1.5011512113
L. Provaznik10
WSep 13 · 07:30L. Provaznik1.401115113R. Merkl2.7541380LSep 13 · 06:30L. Provaznik2.009850P. Hala1.731111113WSep 13 · 05:30L. Provaznik1.7381111113L. Kolman2.00114991LSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113WSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113LSep 2 · 14:45L. Provaznik1.61511851L. Kolman2.2011111113LSep 2 · 13:45L. Provaznik1.61711891P. Hala2.2011811113LAug 31 · 17:09M. Skyba1.61131113113L. Provaznik2.201541171WAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113LAug 31 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.107111161M. Skyba1.6711139113
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