TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122215
Played Sep 13Finished
Lukas Provaznik
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811511––––
Pavel Hala
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timePavel Hala to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Provaznik above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Pavel Hala at 54.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Provaznik 8–15 Pavel Hala Lukas Provaznik has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-15 in 23
Hala
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Provaznik 1547 vs Hala 1617
Hala
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Provaznik 40% vs Hala 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Provaznik 50% vs Hala 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Provaznik +1 · Hala -3
Hala
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Hala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hala form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProvaznik 2.00 / Hala 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Hala)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122215
Provaznik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 52 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back30% 18 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Hala1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 66 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it65% 56 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProvaznik2wins
AwayHala8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHala leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProvaznik33.3%1 of 3
AwayHala85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Provaznik3Hala7n = 10Hala took 7 of 10
S2Provaznik2Hala8n = 10Hala took 8 of 10
S3Provaznik4Hala6n = 10Hala took 6 of 10
S4Provaznik3Hala4n = 7Hala took 4 of 7
S5Provaznik2Hala3n = 5Hala took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricProvaznikHalaP − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.842.9−6.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProvaznikHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 314 vs 311 / 61548.7%50.6%153 / 314 vs 311 / 615Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HalaProvaznik 2.00/Hala 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Hala · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:30L. Provaznik229850P. Hala331111113
LSep 2 · 13:45L. Provaznik35711891P. Hala4111811113
WApr 24 · 20:13L. Provaznik49711911113P. Hala4511911682
LApr 24 · 17:45L. Provaznik31681161P. Hala4011117113
LJan 25 · 09:00L. Provaznik46111011592P. Hala50812911103
LJan 12 · 18:15L. Provaznik2578100P. Hala341111123
LAug 31 · 14:15L. Provaznik46121041192P. Hala511012117113
LAug 29 · 14:00L. Provaznik165470P. Hala331111113
WJul 27 · 09:05L. Provaznik581114128133P. Hala579161011112
LJul 27 · 08:00L. Provaznik4073111182P. Hala45111166113
L. Provaznik10
WSep 13 · 05:30L. Provaznik1.7381111113L. Kolman2.00114991LSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113WSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113LSep 2 · 14:45L. Provaznik1.61511851L. Kolman2.2011111113LSep 2 · 13:45L. Provaznik1.61711891P. Hala2.2011811113LAug 31 · 17:09M. Skyba1.61131113113L. Provaznik2.201541171WAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113LAug 31 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.107111161M. Skyba1.6711139113WAug 31 · 14:00L. Provaznik1.57121158113L. Kolman2.25102111162WAug 12 · 16:43L. Provaznik2.38911113113M. Hajek1.5311781162
P. Hala10
LSep 13 · 06:00R. Merkl2.25121174113P. Hala1.57105111172LSep 11 · 17:03P. Hala1.6713760O. Horak2.101511113LSep 11 · 16:00P. Hala2.2511551152V. Lopata1.57911118113WSep 11 · 14:30A. Pavlik1.83137110P. Hala1.831511133WSep 11 · 14:00O. Horak2.0039110P. Hala1.731111133LSep 9 · 17:03P. Hala1.5071131192P. Provaznik2.50119118113WSep 9 · 16:00P. Hala1.8317911113L. Kolman1.831511351WSep 9 · 14:30P. Provaznik2.503111051P. Hala1.5011512113WSep 9 · 14:00T. Hucko1.576490P. Hala2.251111113WSep 2 · 13:45L. Provaznik1.61711891P. Hala2.2011811113
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