TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13123238
Played Sep 13Finished
Radek Rose
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311119711114811
Richard Wagner
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 86 set 5, 8-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 1–1 Richard Wagner Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Wagner beat Rose 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rose form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 1.83 / Wagner 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wagner)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13123238
Rose1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Wagner1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRose1wins
AwayWagner1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRoseWagnerR − WBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.545.0+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 335 vs 102 / 19446.9%52.6%157 / 335 vs 102 / 194Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerRose 1.83/Wagner 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 12 · 22:30R. Rose4711981272R. Wagner496111110113
WAug 10 · 18:30R. Rose46941111113R. Wagner4111118742
R. Rose10
WSep 13 · 01:30R. Rose1.501111113S. Kasnik2.504540WSep 13 · 24:30M. Regner1.618950R. Rose2.201111113WSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113LSep 12 · 22:30R. Rose1.6711981272R. Wagner2.106111110113WSep 9 · 20:58R. Rose2.63111157113M. Sychra1.4484111152WSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180LSep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44111116113R. Rose2.639131491LSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620
R. Wagner10
LSep 13 · 02:00R. Wagner1.404890M. Regner2.751111113WSep 13 · 01:00R. Wagner1.8311811113J. Louda1.83911441WSep 13 · 24:00S. Kasnik2.20114981R. Wagner1.6151111113WSep 12 · 22:30R. Rose1.6711981272R. Wagner2.106111110113LSep 9 · 13:30R. Wagner1.54811781F. Pusch2.1811611113LSep 9 · 12:00P. Saleny2.0012119113R. Wagner1.731051171WSep 9 · 11:00F. Pusch2.0031260R. Wagner1.731114113WSep 9 · 10:30R. Wagner1.618111210143V. Vejvoda2.201161012122LSep 9 · 09:00R. Wagner1.5381070V. Vejvoda2.381112113LSep 9 · 08:30R. Wagner1.611110551P. Saleny2.2061211113
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