TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114433
Played Sep 12Finished
Radek Rose
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1169118111210711
Richard Wagner
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:42 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeRadek Rose to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Radek Rose at 54.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 1–0 Richard Wagner Richard Wagner has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:42What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rose
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rose 1686 vs Wagner 1661
Rose
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 60% vs Wagner 40%
Rose
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 50% vs Wagner 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose +2 · Wagner -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rose) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 1.67 / Wagner 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wagner)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114433
Rose1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 33 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Wagner2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 30 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRose1wins
AwayWagner0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderRose leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRoseWagnerR − WBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.041.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 339 vs 99 / 19045.7%52.1%155 / 339 vs 99 / 190Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoseRose 1.67/Wagner 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rose · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 10 · 18:30R. Rose46941111113R. Wagner4111118742
R. Rose10
WSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113WSep 9 · 20:58R. Rose2.63111157113M. Sychra1.4484111152WSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180LSep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44111116113R. Rose2.639131491LSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112
R. Wagner10
LSep 9 · 13:30R. Wagner1.54811781F. Pusch2.1811611113LSep 9 · 12:00P. Saleny2.0012119113R. Wagner1.731051171WSep 9 · 11:00F. Pusch2.0031260R. Wagner1.731114113WSep 9 · 10:30R. Wagner1.618111210143V. Vejvoda2.201161012122LSep 9 · 09:00R. Wagner1.5381070V. Vejvoda2.381112113LSep 9 · 08:30R. Wagner1.611110551P. Saleny2.2061211113LSep 9 · 07:00R. Wagner1.735890F. Pusch2.001111113WSep 9 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.20791481R. Wagner1.61111112113WSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:00R. Wagner1.5051116123K. Schopf2.5011714101
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