TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103131
Played Sep 9Finished
Richard Wagner
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012711––––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 70.1% is still 70.1%
Graded at full timeRichard Wagner to win
70.1%
70.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Wagner above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 59 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Richard Wagner at 70.1%
59 points played in total.
H2H Richard Wagner 9–2 Viktor Vejvoda Viktor Vejvoda has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Wagner beat Vejvoda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Wagner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Wagner
Wrong
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1696 vs Vejvoda 1755
Vejvoda
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 60% vs Vejvoda 20%
Wagner
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 50% vs Vejvoda 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner -2 · Vejvoda -3
Vejvoda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.53 / Vejvoda 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Wagner)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103131
Wagner1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 50 of 64
Vejvoda2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 99 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWagner9wins
AwayVejvoda1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWagner leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagner100%9 of 9
AwayVejvodan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner9Vejvoda1n = 10Wagner took 9 of 10
S2Wagner7Vejvoda3n = 10Wagner took 7 of 10
S3Wagner2Vejvoda8n = 10Vejvoda took 8 of 10
S4Wagner8Vejvoda2n = 10Wagner took 8 of 10
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home770%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWagnerVejvodaW − VBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match43.537.6+5.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 185 vs 462 / 88652.4%52.1%97 / 185 vs 462 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.53/Vejvoda 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:00R. Wagner—111112113V. Vejvoda—791481
LSep 4 · 12:00R. Wagner—8121151V. Vejvoda—111013113
WAug 1 · 19:00R. Wagner—111416113V. Vejvoda—9161451
WJul 28 · 20:30R. Wagner—11118113V. Vejvoda—851181
WJul 28 · 16:30R. Wagner—11911113V. Vejvoda—611991
WJul 25 · 17:00R. Wagner—11118193V. Vejvoda—8711171
WJul 25 · 15:30R. Wagner—11119113V. Vejvoda—881141
WJul 25 · 12:00R. Wagner—111165113V. Vejvoda—46111132
WJul 22 · 14:30R. Wagner—11115123V. Vejvoda—4711101
WJul 22 · 12:30R. Wagner—113911113V. Vejvoda—41111872
R. Wagner10
LSep 9 · 08:30R. Wagner1.611110551P. Saleny2.2061211113LSep 9 · 07:00R. Wagner1.735890F. Pusch2.001111113WSep 9 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.20791481R. Wagner1.61111112113WSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:00R. Wagner1.5051116123K. Schopf2.5011714101WSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691LSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113LSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791LSep 5 · 15:00M. Pikous2.20101111123R. Wagner1.611288101
V. Vejvoda10
LSep 9 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.9110360F. Pusch1.801211113LSep 9 · 07:30P. Saleny2.381111113V. Vejvoda1.535870LSep 9 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.20791481R. Wagner1.61111112113WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110
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