TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115429
Played Sep 12Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611511––––
Radek Rose
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:32 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Rose to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Radek Rose below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 50 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Radek Rose at 54.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 10–20 Radek Rose Jiri Louda has won 10 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:32What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rose
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-20 in 30
Rose
Correct
gap of 10 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1667 vs Rose 1675
Rose
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 20% vs Rose 40%
Rose
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 50% vs Rose 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -2 · Rose -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Rose)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rose form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 2.00 / Rose 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Rose)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115429
Louda2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 64 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 47
Rose1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 33 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda6wins
AwayRose4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda100%5 of 5
AwayRose80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda5Rose5n = 10split evenly
S2Louda5Rose5n = 10split evenly
S3Louda5Rose5n = 10split evenly
S4Louda4Rose3n = 7Louda took 4 of 7
S5Louda2Rose1n = 3Louda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaRoseL − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.9−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaRoseBasisWin rate · lifetime607 / 1190 vs 154 / 33251%46.4%607 / 1190 vs 154 / 332Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoseLouda 2.00/Rose 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Rose · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 18:00J. Louda4111127113R. Rose388101191
LSep 3 · 18:00J. Louda44131111362R. Rose53159711113
LAug 18 · 21:30J. Louda145360R. Rose331111113
WAug 18 · 19:00J. Louda341211113R. Rose2710890
LJun 24 · 18:00J. Louda29381171R. Rose3911116113
WMay 4 · 21:30J. Louda47115128113R. Rose39511101122
WMay 4 · 18:00J. Louda4111118113R. Rose35891171
WFeb 19 · 19:00J. Louda49681112123R. Rose511111910102
LFeb 16 · 20:00J. Louda258890R. Rose331111113
WFeb 5 · 22:30J. Louda4011117113R. Rose31761171
J. Louda10
LSep 12 · 22:00J. Louda1.736118111M. Regner2.0011711133LSep 11 · 02:59J. Louda1.50911591M. Sychra2.5011911113WSep 11 · 02:00M. Sychra2.38561251J. Louda1.53111110113LSep 11 · 24:30J. Louda1.73311761M. Regner2.0011511113LSep 10 · 23:00J. Louda1.67111110992S. Kasnik2.10841211113WSep 10 · 22:00M. Klement2.1081111982J. Louda1.67118811113WSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051WSep 9 · 20:30J. Louda1.5313911113M. Sychra2.381111691LSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113
R. Rose10
LSep 12 · 22:30R. Rose1.6711981272R. Wagner2.106111110113WSep 9 · 20:58R. Rose2.63111157113M. Sychra1.4484111152WSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180LSep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44111116113R. Rose2.639131491LSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112
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