TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098808
Played Sep 9Finished
Radek Rose
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113111118––––
Michal Vondrak
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Michal Vondrak below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 45 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 54.0%
45 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rose
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rose 1661 vs Vondrak 1731
Vondrak
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 60% vs Vondrak 100%
Vondrak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 60% vs Vondrak 80%
Vondrak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose -1 · Vondrak +5
Vondrak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vondrak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vondrak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 1.80 / Vondrak 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vondrak)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098808
Rose1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 32 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it71% 22 of 31
Vondrak1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 74 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back31% 26 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseVondrakBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 336 vs 317 / 65145.5%48.7%153 / 336 vs 317 / 651Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VondrakRose 1.80/Vondrak 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vondrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rose won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Rose10
LSep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44111116113R. Rose2.639131491LSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112LSep 3 · 20:00R. Rose3.2568111392M. Sychra1.331111911113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113WSep 3 · 18:00R. Rose1.67159711113J. Louda2.10131111362
M. Vondrak10
WSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:30M. Vondrak1.5711117113M. Sychra2.25971131WSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161WSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790WSep 4 · 06:30D. Hofman1.7311980M. Vondrak2.001311113WSep 1 · 12:58V. Vejvoda1.80118941M. Vondrak1.9181111113LSep 1 · 12:00V. Vejvoda1.831112113M. Vondrak1.8381060LSep 1 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.911011511113M. Vondrak1.8012911562WSep 1 · 10:30M. Vondrak1.501111127113J. Tazler2.5053141172
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